Khachanov vs Auger-Aliassime Prediction 30 September 2026
🔊 The second-round US Open match between Karen Khachanov and Felix Auger-Aliassime is being replayed in the first round of the Beijing 500. As a reminder, at the recent Major the Russian pulled off an upset and went on to reach the semi-finals. Notably, Khachanov has also reached the semi-finals in Beijing before, back in 2019, while the Canadian has never gone beyond the last 16 there. That said, Felix is considered the clear favourite for this match due to a significant gap in class. We'll see whether he can justify that status.
Head-to-Head
📊 Karen Khachanov leads the head-to-head 3-2. On hard courts the advantage is also with the Russian (2-1).
Head-to-head statistics Khachanov - Auger-Aliassime
Karen Khachanov Player Overview
Karen Khachanov had an inconsistent hard-court summer: he went without a win right up to the US Open, arriving at the Major ranked 50th in the world despite having been in the top 10 not long before. In New York, though, he exceeded all expectations, reaching the semi-finals and climbing to 26th in the ATP rankings. He holds serve in 79% of service games, which keeps him competitive on the scoreboard even against higher-ranked opponents. There is still room for improvement, however - on return, for instance, where his break-point conversion rate stands at no more than 31%.
Match Results: Karen Khachanov
Felix Auger-Aliassime Player Overview
Felix Auger-Aliassime missed the start of the summer hard-court swing due to an injury sustained at Wimbledon. Before the US Open he did reach the round of 16 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000, but the Slam ended for him in the second round, where he lost to his current opponent. Ahead of this 500-level event, Auger-Aliassime played for Canada in the Davis Cup, winning two matches. His game is built around a powerful serve - he holds in 81% of service games and averages 15 aces per match. This underpins his overall numbers: 53% of games won and 61% of sets won.
Match Results: Felix Auger-Aliassime
Key factors
- Felix Auger-Aliassime holds serve slightly more often and hits more winners.
- The average match length in his matches is 34.5 games.
- Karen Khachanov leads their head-to-head record against Felix, including on hard courts.
Expected scenario
Both players are capable of holding serve and making things difficult for each other in many games, including on return. The expected pattern involves a high game count, driven by regular exchanges of easy service points as well as active baseline rallies, which both players - given their physical size - tend to prefer.
Total Games Prediction
Felix regularly exceeds his individual games total even against comparable opponents and those below his level, though this does not suggest any kind of outright dominance on his part. His upcoming opponent will probably push the Canadian beyond the upper total threshold as well, even if the match goes to a straight-sets result.
⭐ Editor's Pick
This match looks set to be a tight, uncompromising battle on serve, where every break point will matter on the fast courts of Beijing. Felix Auger-Aliassime, driven by the desire to avenge his recent US Open defeat and justify his world number five ranking, will likely look to seize the initiative from the opening games through aggression and a high tempo.
Karen Khachanov, though, holds a psychological edge in their head-to-head and is capable of sustaining intense baseline rallies, which may force his opponent into risks and unforced errors. The height and powerful serves of both players will in all probability produce numerous holds of serve, which should also affect the overall length of the match. Our pick: Total Games - Over 21.5.
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Betting Tips: Karen Khachanov - Felix Auger-Aliassime
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