Griekspoor vs Rublev Prediction 1 October 2026
🔊 Andrey Rublev, a two-time quarter-finalist at the Beijing 500, will be looking to make amends for his first-round exit last year. He faces Tallon Griekspoor at the same stage this time around - a player whose best result at the tournament was reaching the last 16 in 2024. The Dutchman beat the Russian earlier this season and will be eager to extend that record, with two more wins still needed to level the head-to-head. Rublev, though, is in good form after reaching the final of the ATP 250 in Hangzhou, where he lost to Daniil Medvedev. We'll see whether Griekspoor can unsettle the favourite.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head record stands at 3-1 in favour of Andrey Rublev, though on hard courts the two are level at 1-1.
Head-to-head statistics Griekspoor - Rublev
Tallon Griekspoor Player Overview
Tallon Griekspoor had a poor summer hard-court swing, finishing the North American series with a flat 3-3 record. His last tournament of that stretch was the US Open, where he lost in the first round to eventual finalist Ben Shelton. In Asia, Griekspoor entered Chengdu, where the draw was unkind again - he faced Denis Shapovalov (4-6, 6-7), who went on to reach the semi-finals. Griekspoor plays an attacking game built around a big serve and quick net approaches off it. His defensive game is a weakness, though: his backhand in particular is vulnerable, and opponents regularly target his left side.
Match Results: Tallon Griekspoor
Andrey Rublev Player Overview
Andrey Rublev had an even worse hard-court summer than his upcoming opponent, finishing with a negative record of 2-3. The only tournament where the Russian went further than the Dutchman was the US Open, where he lost in the second round. That said, at the first autumn event Rublev made up for a disappointing North American swing by reaching the final of the ATP 250 in Hangzhou, where he lost to Daniil Medvedev 5-7, 4-6. Like Griekspoor, Rublev favours an attacking game and prefers to play inside the baseline. He has fewer weaknesses, though - his two-handed backhand alone is equally effective in defence.
Match Results: Andrey Rublev
Key factors
- Both players favour an attacking style and predominantly play inside the baseline.
- Rublev balances attack and defence more effectively, supported by a reliable backhand.
- The Russian made a stronger start to the Asian swing, reaching the final at the ATP 250 in Hangzhou.
- The Dutchman played in Chengdu, where he lost in the first round.
Expected scenario
Andrey Rublev will bring maximum intensity from the opening games, forcing the Dutchman onto the baseline he is uncomfortable on and repeatedly targeting his vulnerable backhand. Tallon Griekspoor will look to disrupt the rhythm with frequent net approaches and push sets into tie-breaks, where his composure has often paid off in the past. That said, the last time Griekspoor won a tie-break was in early August against Lorenzo Sonego; since then he has lost three in a row, including one against Denis Shapovalov in Chengdu.
⭐ Editor's Pick
This match looks set to be an uncompromising, high-tempo battle, with Tallon Griekspoor relying on a powerful first serve and a short-rally approach with quick net advances after the serve, while Andrey Rublev works the full court. Rublev has the more varied game and fewer technical weaknesses - if anything, excessive directness and a lack of defensive awareness could be his undoing. However, if he handles the early pressure on return, maintains a high ball-striking intensity and does not let his opponent's aces disrupt his rhythm, his superior form this autumn should pay off. The pick is Rublev to Win.
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