Surface:
Hard
Round:
Semifinal
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR
WTA - 1
2
:
0
Ended
Elina Svitolina
UKR
WTA - 12

Sabalenka vs Svitolina Prediction 29 January 2026

    BLR
    Aryna Sabalenka
    UKR
    Elina Svitolina
    6
    6
    2
    2
    3
    0

    🔊 In the Australian Open semifinals, Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina will face off. The WTA rankings place them at 1st and 12th respectively, making the Belarusian the bookmakers' favorite. Can the experienced Ukrainian challenge the world number one? You'll find a prediction for this matchup in our analytical piece.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 For Sabalenka, Elina Svitolina has been a favorable opponent, with the Belarusian tennis player holding a 5-1 head-to-head advantage. Their most recent encounter was in May last year in Madrid, where Aryna defeated her rival in straight sets.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    86%
    6 Wins
    14%
    1 Win
    29.01.26
    Australian Open (WTA)
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    3
    01.05.25
    Spain Madrid
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    2
    0
    6
    3
    7
    5
    16.08.24
    USA Cincinnati
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    2
    13.05.24
    ROM
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    1
    2
    6
    4
    1
    6
    6
    7
    06.06.23
    Roland-Garros
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    0
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    Empty
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    Aryna Sabalenka Player Overview

    🎾 Sabalenka thrives on the courts of Melbourne and regards this tournament as one of the best on the tour. The Australian Open has seen Aryna triumph twice, though last year she fell in the final to American Madison Keys. It's worth noting that the Belarusian recently claimed another title in Brisbane, so she approaches this major in high spirits.

    🔔 In the current Australian Open draw, Sabalenka hasn't encountered any difficulties in her matches, winning all five contests without dropping a set. In the quarterfinals, Aryna was dominant, conceding just three games to American Eva Jovic (6-3, 6-0). During that match, Aryna fired 7 aces and landed her first serve 64% of the time.

    Match Results: Aryna Sabalenka

    03.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Diana Shnaider
    Diana Shnaider
    1
    2
    6
    3
    5
    7
    0
    6
    L
    01.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Naomi Osaka
    Naomi Osaka
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    3
    W
    30.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Daria Kasatkina
    Daria Kasatkina
    2
    0
    6
    0
    7
    5
    W
    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Elsa Jacquemot
    Elsa Jacquemot
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    2
    W
    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
    Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Elina Svitolina Player Overview

    🎾 In 2023, Svitolina returned to the tour after giving birth and quickly began regaining her former form, now competing on equal footing with the world's top tennis players. Ahead of the Australian Open, Elina clinched her first title of the season by winning the tournament in Auckland.

    🔔 As for the Australian Open, the Ukrainian is yet to drop a set. In her recent matches against Mirra Andreeva and Coco Gauff, she entered as the bookmakers' underdog but proved them wrong-conceding just six games to the Russian and only three to the American. Across these two matches, Elina delivered 8 aces.

    Match Results: Elina Svitolina

    02.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    1
    2
    3
    6
    6
    2
    2
    6
    L
    31.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Belinda Bencic
    Belinda Bencic
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    4
    6
    0
    W
    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Tamara Korpatsch
    Tamara Korpatsch
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    3
    W
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Kaitlin Quevedo
    Kaitlin Quevedo
    2
    0
    6
    0
    6
    4
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Anna Bondar
    Anna Bondar
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    1
    7
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editorial Prediction

    Both competitors are in top form, each riding a ten-match winning streak. The challenge for Svitolina, however, is that her playing style suits Sabalenka perfectly. Her serve won't surprise the Belarusian, who is one of the best returners on the tour, and Svitolina lacks the power to outmuscle her opponent. Aryna has won the last four head-to-head encounters against Elina, three of them in straight sets. We believe there will be no upset in this matchup and predict a victory for Sabalenka with a handicap of (-3.5).

    Our choice
    Aryna Sabalenka Handicap (-3.5) at odds of -167*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (28 January 2026, 12:04)

    Betting Tips: Aryna Sabalenka - Elina Svitolina

    Aryna Sabalenka has won
    aryna-sabalenkain last 10 matches.
    aryna-sabalenkain last 5 matches (WTA Australian Open).
    Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Everygame
    -455
    Elina Svitolina has won
    svitolina-elinain last 12 matches.
    svitolina-elinain last 5 matches (WTA Australian Open).
    Elina Svitolina Win
    Bovada
    +385
    Aryna Sabalenka has won the 1st set
    aryna-sabalenkain last 10 matches.
    aryna-sabalenkain last 5 matches (WTA Australian Open).
    1st Set Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Bovada
    -303
    Elina Svitolina has won the 1st set
    svitolina-elinain last 13 matches.
    svitolina-elinain last 5 matches (WTA Australian Open).
    1st Set Elina Svitolina Win
    Bovada
    +220
    View more facts