Surface:
Grass
Round:
Final
Jessica Pegula
USA
WTA - 3
2
:
0
Ended
Iga Swiatek
POL
WTA - 8

Pegula vs Swiatek Prediction 28 June 2025

    USA
    Jessica Pegula
    POL
    Iga Swiatek
    6
    7
    2
    4
    5
    0

    πŸ”Š The final showdown at the Bad Homburg tournament sets the stage just before Wimbledon kicks off. Jessica Pegula faces off against Iga ŚwiΔ…tek. The Polish player reaches her first-ever grass-court final and is seen as the favorite. Meanwhile, Pegula has tasted victory in Berlin, having done so last year, which means she's well-acquainted with grass courts. Who will come out on top in this match? Check out our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“Š Pegula and ŚwiΔ…tek have faced off 10 times, with the American claiming four victories. However, their upcoming match will mark their first-ever head-to-head encounter on grass.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    42%
    5 Wins
    58%
    7 Wins
    13.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
    28.06.25
    WTA Bad Homburg Women
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    2
    0
    6
    4
    7
    5
    04.09.24
    USO
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    0
    2
    2
    6
    4
    6
    06.11.23
    WTA Finals Singles
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    1
    6
    0
    6
    12.08.23
    MON
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    1
    2
    2
    6
    7
    6
    4
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Jessica Pegula Player Overview

    The American had a solid run at Bad Homburg, starting from the second round. First, Pegula defeated Katerina Siniakova in straight sets, 2-0, without facing any difficulties, and then she faced off against Emma Navarro. In a clash of billionaire daughters, Pegula triumphed 2-1. With six aces, Jessica left Navarro with no chance to make an impact on her return game. In the semifinals, she faced a strong opponent in Linda Noskova, who was in great form. The first set was a real battle, stretching to a tiebreak. Ultimately, the Czech player took the first set, but Pegula found her rhythm, played brilliantly on return in the second set, and won 7-5. Surprisingly, Noskova lost despite serving 15 aces in the match. However, they were spread across the first two sets, and by the decisive third set, the Czech ran out of steam, allowing the powerful American to clinch it 6-1.

    Match Results: Jessica Pegula

    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Kimberly Birrell
    Kimberly Birrell
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    1
    1
    6
    6
    3
    6
    3
    L
    13.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
    L
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Anastasia Potapova
    Anastasia Potapova
    2
    0
    78
    66
    6
    2
    W
    10.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Rebeka Masarova
    Rebeka Masarova
    2
    0
    6
    0
    6
    0
    W
    08.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Zeynep Sonmez
    Zeynep Sonmez
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Iga Swiatek Player Overview

    ŚwiΔ…tek faced much more intriguing opponents. She kicked off with a match against Victoria Azarenka and encountered no significant challenges. The match was fairly straightforward, with ŚwiΔ…tek's youth playing a crucial role as she secured the victory. Next up was Alexandrova, which proved to be more of a contest, but the Russian fell just short of pushing the match into a third set. The semifinal was the highlight, with Jasmine Paolini as her opponent. ŚwiΔ…tek left the Italian with no chance, defying expectations with her dominant performance. Paolini's return game struggled significantly, managing to win only 6 out of 32 of ŚwiΔ…tek's first serves, a stat far from sufficient for a win. Ultimately, ŚwiΔ…tek clinched the match 6-1, 6-3 in just an hour to advance to the final.

    Match Results: Iga Swiatek

    31.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    1
    L
    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Magda Linette
    Magda Linette
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    W
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Sara Bejlek
    Sara Bejlek
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    2
    6
    3
    6
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Emerson Jones
    Emerson Jones
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
    W
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    2
    2
    6
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editor's Prediction

    Bookmakers see Swiatek as the favorite in this matchup. However, this is her first final appearance of the year, and playing at such a high level after a long break will be challenging for her. Psychologically, the Pole shows vulnerability, with evident mental challenges. Pegula, on the other hand, demonstrates much more stability in this regard. While odds suggest the American might lose, Swiatek has yet to claim a grass-court title. Our bet is on Jessica Pegula to win the match.

    Our choice
    Jessica Pegula Win at odds of +190*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (27 June 2025, 18:18)

    Betting Tips: Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek

    Iga Swiatek has won the 2nd set
    swiatek-igain last 9 matches.
    2nd Set Iga Swiatek Win
    Bovada
    -200
    Iga Swiatek has won
    swiatek-igain 8 of last 9 matches.
    Iga Swiatek Win
    Bovada
    -238
    Iga Swiatek has won under 13.5 games
    pegula-jessicaswiatek-igain 9 of last 10 matches against Jessica Pegula.
    swiatek-igain 12 of last 13 matches.
    Iga Swiatek Total Under (13.5)
    -286
    Jessica Pegula has won under 12.5 games
    pegula-jessicaswiatek-igain 8 of last 9 matches against Iga Swiatek.
    Jessica Pegula Total Under (12.5)
    -227
    View more facts