Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/16
Fajing Sun
CHN
ATP - 296
18
:
10
:
03
Hayato Matsuoka
JPN
ATP - 242

Fajing vs Matsuoka Prediction 27 October 2026

    🎾 Sun Fajing and Hayato Matsuoka face each other in the first round of the Ningbo Challenger. The match is played on outdoor hard courts, where both players have comparable records. The two are well acquainted from their previous meetings.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In their head-to-head record, Sun Fajing leads 2-1, but the most recent match was won by Hayato Matsuoka.

    Head-to-head statistics Fajing - Matsuoka

    67%
    2 Wins
    33%
    1 Win
    14.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    Hayato Matsuoka
    Hayato Matsuoka
    0
    2
    5
    7
    5
    7
    06.01.26
    ATP Challenger Nonthaburi, Thailand Men Singles
    Hayato Matsuoka
    Hayato Matsuoka
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    1
    2
    2
    6
    6
    2
    2
    6
    31.10.25
    ITF M25 China
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    Hayato Matsuoka
    Hayato Matsuoka
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    2
    6
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Fajing Sun Player Overview

    Sun Fajing arrives at this match having won five of his last 10 games, which points to inconsistent form over that stretch. His recent results have alternated between wins and losses. The average number of games per match in his recent outings is 20.9 - close to the total line, with no clear edge over his opponents. He holds serve in 81% of service games, and his set-winning percentage over the last 10 matches stands at 48%. In head-to-head meetings with Matsuyama, he holds a minimal advantage in wins.

    Match Results: Fajing Sun

    22.10.26
    Challenger Guangzhou
    Keegan Smith
    Keegan Smith
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    4
    77
    63
    L
    20.10.26
    Challenger Guangzhou
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    Qian Sun
    Qian Sun
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    13.10.26
    Challenger Jinan
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    Jie Cui
    Jie Cui
    0
    2
    3
    6
    5
    7
    L
    09.10.26
    ATP Challenger Wuning 3, China Men Singles
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    Alibek Kachmazov
    Alibek Kachmazov
    0
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    L
    08.10.26
    ATP Challenger Wuning 3, China Men Singles
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    Kasidit Samrej
    Kasidit Samrej
    2
    0
    6
    4
    7
    5
    W
    Empty
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    Hayato Matsuoka Player Overview

    Hayato Matsuoka has won four of his last ten matches, also showing inconsistent results. His average total games per match is even higher than his opponent's - 24.6 - which raises the likelihood of long sets or a three-set scenario. On serve, Matsuoka holds 79% of his service games, while his set-winning percentage stands at 42%. The head-to-head record against Fajing shows no clear dominance from either side: three matches have ended with different outcomes.

    Match Results: Hayato Matsuoka

    20.10.26
    Challenger Guangzhou
    Hayato Matsuoka
    Hayato Matsuoka
    Yibing Wu
    Yibing Wu
    0
    2
    2
    6
    3
    6
    L
    14.10.26
    Challenger Jinan
    Hayato Matsuoka
    Hayato Matsuoka
    Aleksandar Vukic
    Aleksandar Vukic
    0
    2
    2
    6
    3
    6
    L
    12.10.26
    Challenger Jinan
    Hayato Matsuoka
    Hayato Matsuoka
    James McCabe
    James McCabe
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    11.10.26
    Challenger Jinan
    Hayato Matsuoka
    Hayato Matsuoka
    Qian Sun
    Qian Sun
    2
    1
    6
    2
    65
    77
    6
    4
    W
    23.09.26
    ATP Hangzhou Singles
    Taro Daniel
    Taro Daniel
    Hayato Matsuoka
    Hayato Matsuoka
    2
    0
    6
    4
    711
    69
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Key factors

    • Sun Fajing averages 20.9 games per match; Hayato Matsuoka averages 24.6.
    • In their last 10 matches each player has won roughly half the sets and games, pointing to closely contested encounters.
    • In their head-to-head record the win advantage is minimal, and their most recent meeting ended in two sets but without a dominant scoreline.
    • Their serve and return statistics are similar, which increases the likelihood of extended sets.

    Expected scenario

    Both players are capable of holding serve consistently and competing for games throughout every set. There is no clear favourite - either player can take their chances in both the first and second sets. The average total games for both players is around or above the chosen line. A three-setter is possible, as is a series of closely contested sets without either player being blown out - a scenario that fits well with a bet on the over.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Neither player goes into this match with a clear edge: neither form nor statistics over recent weeks favour one over the other. Average game counts have been high relative to the chosen total line; their head-to-head meetings have been fairly balanced, with scores remaining relatively even even in straight-sets results. An even contest is expected, with a chance of a third set or extended sets - the logical bet is Total Games - Over 22.5.
    Total Over (22,5)
    Thunderpick
    Place a bet-112
    Published: 26/10/2026, 06:52
    Konstantin Brestov
    Konstantin Brestov
    Scores24 Editor. I dream of watching Cristiano Ronaldo play live.
    17
    1
    21
    39 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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