Li vs Alexandrova Prediction 27 October 2026
🔊 Ann Li and Ekaterina Alexandrova meet in the first round of the women's draw in Tokyo. Both players are ranked inside the top 35 and arrive on the back of decent recent results, which points to a competitive match from start to finish.
Head-to-Head
📊 Ekaterina Alexandrova leads the head-to-head record 3-1 against Ann Li.
Head-to-head statistics Li - Alexandrova
Ann Li Player Overview
Ann Li is in decent form, winning 7 of her last 10 matches. In Osaka she reached the semi-finals, beating Zeynep Sonmez and Lilly Tagger, before losing to Ashlyn Krueger in three sets. Li holds serve in around 75% of service games, with a first-serve percentage of 64%. She averages 6.6 aces per match and double-faults on approximately 4% of service points. Her sets-won percentage (59%) and games-won percentage (52%) are comparable to her opponent's, making the statistics between the two players closely matched.
Match Results: Ann Li
Ekaterina Alexandrova Player Overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova goes into this match having won six of her last ten matches - a solid record at WTA level. In Ningbo she beat Hanyuu Guo and Marta Kostyuk before losing to Leylah Fernandez in the quarter-finals. She holds serve in around 67% of service games, with a first-serve percentage of 53%. Her aces are on the lower side - averaging 3.4 per match - though her break-point conversion stands at 40%. Her sets-won percentage (55%) and games-won percentage (53%) are close to her opponent's, and her double-fault rate is slightly higher at around 8% per match.
Match Results: Ekaterina Alexandrova
Key factors
- Ekaterina Alexandrova has covered the +2.5 games handicap in 7 of her last 8 matches.
- Ekaterina Alexandrova leads their head-to-head record.
- Both players have very similar statistics in games and sets won.
- Both players have shown consistent form in recent matches.
Expected scenario
Based on both players' current results and their head-to-head record, this looks like an even contest with neither player likely to dominate throughout. A scenario involving extended sets or even a possible third set seems probable - which increases the chances of Ekaterina Alexandrova's Games Handicap +2.5 coming in.
⭐ Editor's Pick
The two players are showing similar levels of form and key performance metrics: their games-won percentages are close, and their recent results suggest both are well prepared to compete hard in every rally. Their head-to-head meetings have also been tight, with Alexandrova holding a slight edge. Given this balance, the main bet is Ekaterina Alexandrova - Games Handicap +2.5.
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Betting Tips: Ann Li - Ekaterina Alexandrova
in last 4 matches against Ekaterina Alexandrova..svg)
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