Aguilar Cardozo vs Barrena Prediction 26 September 2026

Details
Key points
    URY
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    ARG
    Alex Barrena
    4
    3
    0
    6
    6
    2

    🔊 In the semi-finals of the Buenos Aires 2 Challenger on clay, Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo takes on Alex Barrena. The match looks a tough test for both players: one arrives on a winning streak, the other with less consistent recent results. Their recent performances and clay-court statistics point to a clear favourite.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Alex Barrena won the only previous meeting between the two.

    Head-to-head statistics Aguilar Cardozo - Barrena

    0%
    0 Wins
    100%
    2 Wins
    26.09.26
    ATP Challenger Buenos Aires II, ARG Men Singles
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Alex Barrena
    Alex Barrena
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    21.11.24
    ITF Argentina F10
    Alex Barrena
    Alex Barrena
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    1
    6
    1
    Empty
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    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Player Overview

    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is going through an impressive run: 10 wins from his last 10 matches, with no losses in that spell. His most recent opponents - Carlos Maria Zarate, Francisco Comesana and Juan Pablo Varillas - were all beaten without any dip in form. Across those 10 matches he has won 91% of sets and taken eight of them without dropping a set, pointing to a clear margin over his opponents across that stretch. His games-won percentage stands at 66%, and he has converted 53% of break points. On serve, Joaquin wins just under a third of his service games, though the overall balance of play allows him to control matches comfortably.

    Match Results: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

    26.09.26
    ATP Challenger Buenos Aires II, ARG Men Singles
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Alex Barrena
    Alex Barrena
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    L
    25.09.26
    ATP Challenger Buenos Aires II, ARG Men Singles
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    23.09.26
    ATP Challenger Buenos Aires II, ARG Men Singles
    Francisco Comesana
    Francisco Comesana
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    1
    2
    5
    7
    77
    65
    4
    6
    W
    22.09.26
    ATP Challenger Buenos Aires II, ARG Men Singles
    Carlos Maria Zarate
    Carlos Maria Zarate
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    0
    2
    2
    6
    1
    6
    W
    21.09.26
    ATP Challenger Buenos Aires II, ARG Men Singles
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Federico Juan Aguilar
    Federico Juan Aguilar
    2
    0
    6
    4
    7
    5
    W
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    Alex Barrena Player Overview

    Alex Barrena arrives at the semi-final with eight wins from his last ten matches, though he has lost twice in that spell. In the quarter-final he beat Juan Carlos Prado Angelo, having previously won against Valentin Garay and Juan Pablo Ficovich. His set-winning rate across recent matches stands at 70%, with a games-winning rate of 56%. On serve, Barrena is reasonably consistent - holding 66% of his service games - but he produces more double faults than his opponent. Across most key metrics, Alex trails Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo both in consistency of results and in converting opportunities.

    Match Results: Alex Barrena

    27.09.26
    ATP Challenger Buenos Aires II, ARG Men Singles
    Alex Barrena
    Alex Barrena
    Facundo Mena
    Facundo Mena
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    0
    W
    26.09.26
    ATP Challenger Buenos Aires II, ARG Men Singles
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Alex Barrena
    Alex Barrena
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    W
    25.09.26
    ATP Challenger Buenos Aires II, ARG Men Singles
    Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
    Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
    Alex Barrena
    Alex Barrena
    0
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    W
    24.09.26
    ATP Challenger Buenos Aires II, ARG Men Singles
    Juan Pablo Ficovich
    Juan Pablo Ficovich
    Alex Barrena
    Alex Barrena
    0
    2
    3
    6
    5
    7
    W
    22.09.26
    ATP Challenger Buenos Aires II, ARG Men Singles
    Valentin Garay
    Valentin Garay
    Alex Barrena
    Alex Barrena
    0
    2
    2
    6
    2
    6
    W
    Empty
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    Key factors

    • Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has won his last 10 matches in a row.
    • In 20 of his last 22 matches, Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has won with a games handicap of -3.5.
    • Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo's sets won percentage stands at 91% over his last 10 matches.
    • Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo's games and sets won figures are significantly higher than his opponent's.

    Expected scenario

    Based on current form and statistics, the most likely scenario is a match with a clear advantage for one player. Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is capable of controlling the match, with strong output in both sets and games. The probability of a third set is assessed as low - the game difference may already be significant by the end of the second set.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo's current form looks highly convincing: a ten-match winning streak backed by a high set-winning percentage and a clear margin in games won over opponents. With those factors in mind, a straight-sets outcome is the main scenario, with the favourite taking control from the outset. The pick is Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Games Handicap -3.5.
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo Handicap (-3,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-115
    Published: 26/09/2026, 09:37
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis expert
    381
    0
    277
    658 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Alex Barrena

    Alex Barrena has won:
    barrena-alex-1in 6 of last 7 matches.
    Alex Barrena to Win
    Bovada
    +160
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has won:
    joaquin-aguilar-cardozoin last 22 matches.
    joaquin-aguilar-cardozoin last 5 matches (Challenger Buenos Aires II).
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo to Win
    Bovada
    -208
    Alex Barrena has won the 1st set:
    barrena-alex-1in 6 of last 7 matches.
    1st Set Alex Barrena to Win
    Bovada
    +140
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has won the 1st set:
    joaquin-aguilar-cardozoin 21 of last 22 matches.
    joaquin-aguilar-cardozoin last 5 matches (Challenger Buenos Aires II).
    1st Set Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo to Win
    Bovada
    -185
    View more facts