Sinner vs Zverev Prediction 26 January 2025

Is there an undeniable favorite in the final match of the Australian Open between Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev? We aim to provide detailed answers to this and other significant questions in our prediction. It should be noted that at the majors on hard courts, the tennis players have faced each other twice, with the world's second-ranked player prevailing both times (3:0 and 3:2).

Jannik Sinner

Sinner avoided participating in five-set battles on his way to defending the trophy, only not winning in straight sets against Tristan Schoolkate and Holger Rune. Currently, Jannik simply has no equal, as evidenced by his winning streak of 23 matches. In Melbourne, the Italian faced some health issues a few times. However, he successfully avoided any long-term consequences. In total, the athlete made 158 unforced errors during the tournament and also had 186 actively won points.

Alexander Zverev

Zverev had previously come close to triumphing at a major twice (top-2 at the US Open and Roland Garros). But in crucial battles, he failed to break the resistance of Dominic Thiem and Carlos Alcaraz. In both cases, Alexander had the advantage but couldn't bring it to a logical conclusion due to a lack of experience and significant organizational issues. Now, however, the German has learned to act very disciplinedly, which allows him to avoid new upsets. On these courts, the athlete spent just under 14 hours in total, avoiding colossal difficulties in service games (just over 1 break on average per match, 68 aces, and less than 25% of points lost on the first serve).

Editorial Prediction

In this match, Zverev, in our opinion, will not let Sinner have an easy walk. Alexander knows better than anyone how to exploit Jannik's weaknesses (leading 4-2 in head-to-head meetings), and we believe that this well-established tendency will once again manifest itself. Victory for the German with a handicap of +4.5 is our priority choice for the match.