Ymer vs Garin Prediction 26 August 2026
🔊 Elias Ymer and Cristian Garin meet in the second round of US Open qualifying on hard courts. The two have a history, and their current form is markedly different. The match will show whether Ymer can end his losing run against Garin.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two players have met twice before, with Cristian Garin winning on both occasions.
Head-to-head statistics Ymer - Garin
Elias Ymer Player Overview
Over his last ten matches, Elias Ymer has won just four and lost six, pointing to inconsistent form. In his most recent outing - a US Open qualifying match - he beat Franco Roncadelli, but before that he lost to Daniil Glinka and has been alternating wins and losses. On serve, Ymer holds 81% of his service games on average, a solid figure at his level, though his set-winning percentage (38%) and games-winning percentage (45%) are low for a player looking to advance deep in the draw. His points-won rate tells a similar story: just 47% against opponents from that recent run.
Match Results: Elias Ymer
Christian Garin Player Overview
Garin heads into this match having won four of his last ten, but his numbers compare favourably to Imer's: he holds a higher set-winning percentage (48%) and games-winning percentage (53%). Most recently, he came through his US Open qualifying first-round match against Spencer Johnson with little trouble. On serve, the Chilean holds around 77% of his service games - marginally below his opponent's figure - while his overall points-winning percentage of 52% gives him the edge in that department. Worth noting, too, is his head-to-head record against Imer: two wins from two.
Match Results: Christian Garin
Key factors
Ymer has lost seven of his last eight matches at the US Open. Garin leads their head-to-head 2-0, with the most recent meeting ending in a straight-sets win. Ymer's set and game win rates over his last ten matches are low, while Garin's numbers in both categories are higher and his recent form is more consistent. The h2h record and current statistics both point towards Garin.
Expected scenario
Garín looks the more likely winner here, backed by more consistent recent form and a favourable head-to-head record against Ymer. A third set seems unlikely - Ymer has a pattern of straight-set defeats at this tournament, and that trend points towards a two-set finish.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Elias Ymer's recent form has been poor - just four wins from his last ten matches, with a negative record in both sets and games. Cristian Garin holds the head-to-head advantage and has outperformed Ymer across virtually every key metric this stretch of the season. The match sets up as a clear win for the Chilean, with no need to rely on a prolonged contest or an unexpected twist. Our pick is Cristian Garin to Win.
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Betting Tips: Elias Ymer - Christian Garin
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