Surface:
Red clay
Round:
1/16
Iga Swiatek
POL
WTA - 4
1
:
1
Retired
Winner: Ann Li
Ann Li
USA
WTA - 34

Swiatek vs Li Prediction 25 April 2026

    POL
    Iga Swiatek
    USA
    Ann Li
    64
    6
    0
    1
    77
    2
    3
    1

    🔊 Will "Queen of Clay" Iga Świątek continue her dominant run through the main draw of the Madrid Masters? The Polish star cruised past Daria Snigur in the second round, hinting at a return to her formidable form. In the third round, she'll face a tougher challenge in Ann Li, who has been eyeing a spot in the top 30 rankings for some time. Can the American put up a fight against the world number four? Our editorial team provides an insightful prediction on the odds. 

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The tennis players have not faced each other before.

    Head-to-head statistics Swiatek - Li

    0%
    0 Wins
    100%
    1 Win
    25.04.26
    Spain Madrid
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Ann Li
    Ann Li
    1
    1
    64
    77
    6
    2
    0
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Iga Swiatek Player Overview

    Iga Świątek has recently dropped out of the top three in the global tennis rankings and currently holds the 4th spot in the WTA standings. Nevertheless, Iga thrives on clay courts, thanks to her aggressive playing style characterized by powerful baseline shots and a reliable service game, where she wins nearly 60% of points. Regardless of her recent performances, the Polish player typically dominates lower-ranked opponents: 8 out of her last 10 matches ended in straight-set victories.

    Match Results: Iga Swiatek

    15.10.26
    WUH
    Ashlyn Krueger
    Ashlyn Krueger
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    1
    6
    4
    6
    W
    14.10.26
    WUH
    Magdalena Frech
    Magdalena Frech
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    2
    6
    1
    6
    W
    09.10.26
    China, Beijing
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    2
    0
    7
    6
    6
    3
    L
    07.10.26
    China, Beijing
    Iva Jovic
    Iva Jovic
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    1
    6
    3
    6
    W
    05.10.26
    China, Beijing
    Donna Vekic
    Donna Vekic
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    1
    2
    6
    4
    60
    77
    2
    6
    W
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    Ann Li Player Overview

    Ann Li currently holds the 34th spot in the world rankings. The Madrid Open is just her second clay-court tournament this season. Previously, she reached the quarterfinals at the WTA 250 event in Rouen. Li showcases impressive serving performance, averaging nearly seven aces per match. However, consistency remains an issue for Ann, with her longest winning streak this year being only two matches. Her record against top-10 players is also concerning, as she has suffered six consecutive defeats.

    Match Results: Ann Li

    15.10.26
    WUH
    Ann Li
    Ann Li
    Janice Tjen
    Janice Tjen
    2
    0
    6
    1
    77
    61
    W
    15.10.26
    ITF China W15 Shenzhen
    Ann Li
    Ann Li
    Shiyu Ye
    Shiyu Ye
    0
    2
    4
    6
    1
    6
    L
    14.10.26
    WUH
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Ann Li
    Ann Li
    1
    2
    6
    3
    4
    6
    65
    77
    W
    14.10.26
    ITF China W15 Shenzhen
    Aunchisa Chanta
    Aunchisa Chanta
    Ann Li
    Ann Li
    0
    2
    4
    6
    1
    6
    W
    13.10.26
    WUH
    Ann Li
    Ann Li
    Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
    Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
    1
    0
    6
    1
    3
    0
    W
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    👀 Expected Match Scenario

    Iga Swiatek, a seasoned clay court competitor, will aim to leverage her powerful baseline shots and reliable serve. Although her form in the last five matches hasn't been flawless, the Pole confidently secured her last encounter against Daria Snigur, reaffirming her ability to dominate less prominent opponents. Ann Li is known for her powerful hitting, but it's hard to highlight other strengths, especially on clay. The bounce from the clay surface is likely to give Swiatek a few break-point opportunities, allowing her to avoid a third set.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Iga Świątek enters the match with an edge both in ranking and clay-court experience. Her aggressive style rarely allows lower-ranked opponents to challenge her. Ann Li might surprise with the power of her serve, but Świątek's technical arsenal is clearly superior to the American's. Typically, she cruises through the early rounds of major tournaments with significant dominance. We anticipate a more than comfortable Świątek victory with a handicap of (-6.5).

    Iga Swiatek Handicap (-6,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-135
    Published: 24/04/2026, 15:45

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    Betting Tips: Iga Swiatek - Ann Li

    Iga Swiatek has won the 1st set:
    swiatek-igain 8 of last 9 matches.
    Ann Li has lost the 1st set:
    li-annin 5 of last 6 matches.
    1st Set Iga Swiatek to Win
    Bovada
    -714
    Over 17.5 games:
    li-annin last 18 Ann Li games.
    Total Over (17,5)
    MyBookie
    -132
    Ann Li has won over 6.5 games:
    li-annin last 13 matches.
    Ann Li Total Over (6,5)
    MyBookie
    +120
    Ann Li won with a +6.5 games handicap:
    li-annin 17 of last 18 matches.
    Ann Li Handicap (+6,5)
    MyBookie
    +100