Surface:
Hard
Round:
Semifinal
Tommy Paul
USA
ATP - 15
0
:
1
2nd set
Watch live
Taylor Fritz
USA
ATP - 14

Paul vs Fritz Prediction 24 October 2026

    USA
    Tommy Paul
    USA
    Taylor Fritz
    40
    A
    3
    1
    0
    6
    0
    1

    πŸ”Š Tommy Paul and Taylor Fritz are set to face off in the semifinals of the Lyon indoor hard-court tournament. Both players know each other well from previous head-to-head clashes, adding extra intrigue to this matchup. It’s worth taking a closer look at the nature of their past encounters and the total games statistics.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“Š In their eight head-to-head clashes, the wins are evenly split with four draws apiece.

    Head-to-head statistics Paul - Fritz

    50%
    4 Wins
    50%
    4 Wins
    21.02.26
    Delray Beach (ATP)
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    19.02.24
    Delray Beach (ATP)
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    3
    04.03.23
    Mexico Acapulco
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    2
    1
    6
    3
    6
    7
    7
    6
    28.03.22
    MIA
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    2
    0
    7
    6
    6
    4
    10.11.21
    STO
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    Empty
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    Tommy Paul Player Overview

    Tommy Paul heads into the semifinals with seven wins in his last ten matches, underlining his solid form. In Lyon, he’s already battled past two opponents-each time needing three sets to get the job done. Among his recent rivals was Daniil Medvedev, who handed Paul his most recent defeat at the previous tournament. Paul has been reliable on serve, winning 74% of his service games, keeping double faults to a minimum (averaging just 3% per match), and converting break points at an impressive 46% rate. His matches typically last around 27.3 games, but head-to-head clashes with Fritz tend to be much shorter affairs.

    Match Results: Tommy Paul

    23.10.26
    France Lyon
    Corentin Moutet
    Corentin Moutet
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    3
    3
    6
    W
    21.10.26
    France Lyon
    Benjamin Bonzi
    Benjamin Bonzi
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    1
    2
    4
    6
    77
    64
    3
    6
    W
    16.10.26
    SHA
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    2
    1
    6
    3
    1
    6
    6
    3
    L
    14.10.26
    SHA
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    Zizou Bergs
    Zizou Bergs
    2
    0
    77
    65
    6
    4
    W
    12.10.26
    SHA
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    Valentin Vacherot
    Valentin Vacherot
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Taylor Fritz Player Overview

    Taylor Fritz has picked up five wins in his last ten matches, showing a pattern of alternating results. In the quarterfinals, he got past Daniel Altmaier after previously defeating Pierre-Hugues Herbert. Fritz stands out with a strong average of 11.2 aces per match and maintains a solid hold on his serve, winning 73% of service games. His percentage of points won is slightly higher than Paul’s at 53%. On average, his matches last just over 29.5 games, although his head-to-head clashes with Tommy have often wrapped up quicker than the norm.

    Match Results: Taylor Fritz

    23.10.26
    France Lyon
    Daniel Altmaier
    Daniel Altmaier
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    0
    2
    65
    77
    2
    6
    W
    22.10.26
    France Lyon
    Pierre-Hugues Herbert
    Pierre-Hugues Herbert
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    0
    2
    2
    6
    5
    7
    W
    12.10.26
    SHA
    Stefanos Tsitsipas
    Stefanos Tsitsipas
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    2
    1
    3
    6
    7
    5
    6
    3
    L
    10.10.26
    SHA
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    0
    2
    5
    7
    4
    6
    W
    01.10.26
    TOK
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
    Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
    1
    2
    7
    6
    4
    6
    3
    6
    L
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    Key factors

    • In 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings, the total number of games has stayed under 23.5.
    • On average, matches featuring Tommy Paul see 27.3 games, while Taylor Fritz’s matches average 29.5, but their encounters often wrap up quicker.
    • The under 23.5 games trend is reinforced by the clear head-to-head dominance.
    • Both players have been serving consistently, which reduces the likelihood of extended sets.

    Expected scenario

    Head-to-head encounters between these players typically wrap up in straight sets and rarely exceed the 23.5-game total line. The likelihood of a third set is low: both athletes are solid on serve and seldom extend matches to the maximum number of games. Given this, backing the under on the total games market appears to be a well-founded pick for this semifinal.

    ⭐ Editors' Prediction

    Both players are showing solid form: Paul has claimed seven wins in his last ten matches, while Fritz has put together back-to-back victories at this tournament. Their head-to-head encounters are typically fast-paced and rarely see a high total of games, thanks to both players’ reliable serves and a lack of frequent three-set battles. This matchup is likely to follow the same pattern, staying under the projected total for games played. The pick: Under 23.5 total games.
    Total Under (23,5)
    Thunderpick
    Place a bet-119
    Published: 24/10/2026, 05:18
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
    117
    4
    83
    204 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Tommy Paul - Taylor Fritz

    Taylor Fritz has won the 1st set:
    taylor-fritzin last 5 matches.
    1st Set Taylor Fritz to Win
    Thunderpick
    -156
    Tommy Paul has won the 1st set:
    paul-tommyin 5 of last 6 matches.
    1st Set Tommy Paul to Win
    Thunderpick
    +126
    Taylor Fritz has won under 13.5 games:
    paul-tommytaylor-fritzin 7 of last 8 matches against Tommy Paul.
    Taylor Fritz Total Under (13,5)
    MyBookie
    -172
    Under 2.5 sets:
    paul-tommytaylor-fritzin 7 of last 8 Tommy Paul games against Taylor Fritz.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    Thunderpick
    -164
    View more facts