Fajing vs Safiullin Prediction 24 September 2026
🔊 Roman Safiullin, a former world No. 36, has been struggling to rediscover his best form and will try again in Hangzhou, where he faces Sun Fajing in the first round. Sun is ranked roughly three times lower than the Russian, who sits at No. 102 in the ATP rankings. That sizeable gap is naturally reflected in the odds. That said, Sun, unlike Safiullin, has been playing regularly and has competed at comparable Challenger-level events. It will be interesting to see how he performs on home soil in a main ATP Tour event.
Head-to-Head
📊 The only previous meeting between these two was won by Roman Safiullin. That match took place back in 2018 at a futures event in Uzbekistan.
Fajing Sun Player Overview
Sun Fajing arrives at his home tournament in decent form, with six wins from his last ten matches. His run in Hangzhou began in qualifying, where he beat the higher-ranked Matthew Dellavedova and Bernard Tomic, which speaks to his ability to compete against opponents at any level. His matches average 26.7 games, of which he wins 51%. A hold rate of 76% and a break-point conversion rate of 38% suggest he may be able to take his chances regularly - both on serve and on return - even against the Russian favourite.
Match Results: Fajing Sun
Roman Safiullin Player Overview
Roman Safiullin has won five of his last ten meetings. That run stretches back to the grass season, however, and he arrives at the ATP 250 in Hangzhou on a three-match losing streak. His best result over the summer was a Challenger quarter-final in Cancun, though his overall record on the American swing is level at 3-3. Safiullin holds serve in 79% of service games, and his set-winning percentage stands at 61. He averages 6.7 aces per match, which is higher than his upcoming opponent, though he can sometimes lack consistency during rallies to maintain full control of a match.
Match Results: Roman Safiullin
Key factors
- Sun Fajing has covered the handicap (+4.5) in 13 of his last 14 matches.
- The average number of games in matches involving Sun Fajing is 26.7.
- He has won 51% of games and 52% of sets over his last 10 matches.
- Roman Safiullin holds a ranking advantage, but his results have been inconsistent.
- Safiullin has had limited match practice on hard courts this season.
Expected scenario
Sun Fajing's statistics suggest he can stay close on the scoreboard even against higher-ranked opponents, so expect meaningful resistance in this match. There is no clear basis for Roman Safiullin to dominate: both players hold serve reliably, which makes a high number of service holds likely and points towards a tight scoreline.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Sun Fajing's current form suggests he can be competitive against the Russian favourite on the odds. The Chinese player rarely loses heavily even against stronger opponents and holds serve consistently. Roman Safiullin has the edge in class, but his results lack consistency, which means a one-sided outcome is far from guaranteed even if he wins. The main case logically centres on a positive games handicap for the Chinese player - that line came through in 13 of his last 14 matches. Our pick is Sun Fajing - Games Handicap +4.5.
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Betting Tips: Fajing Sun - Roman Safiullin
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