Mochizuki vs Kotov Prediction 23 September 2026
🔊 Shintaro Mochizuki and Pavel Kotov meet in the Chengdu qualifying final on outdoor hard courts. The match will decide who advances to the main draw. The two players' recent form and results point to a clear difference in consistency ahead of this deciding encounter.
Head-to-Head
📊 In their only head-to-head meeting, Pavel Kotov won 2-0.
Head-to-head statistics Mochizuki - Kotov
Shintaro Mochizuki Player Overview
Shintaro Mochizuki arrives at this match after a difficult run - just 4 wins from his last 10. He holds serve in around 68% of service games, but has struggled to maintain momentum, winning only 40% of sets played. Notably, four of his last ten matches ended without him taking a set, which points to difficulties sustaining a challenge against more consistent opponents.
Match Results: Shintaro Mochizuki
Pavel Kotov Player Overview
Pavel Kotov is in solid form, having won eight of his last ten matches, with a two-match winning streak going into this round - one of the more consistent records in qualifying. He hits more aces than his opponent (6.9 per match), lands his first serve at 66%, and has won 53% of service games. Five of his last ten matches ended without dropping a set, and his double-fault rate is low.
Match Results: Pavel Kotov
Key factors
- Pavel Kotov has finished 6 of his last 7 matches in straight sets.
- Shintaro Mochizuki has lost 4 of his last 10 matches without winning a set.
- In their head-to-head meeting, Kotov beat Mochizuki 2-0.
- Kotov's form is more consistent: 8 wins from 10 matches, against 4 for his opponent.
Expected scenario
The match looks likely to favour Pavel Kotov, given his better form and consistency across key metrics. Shintaro Mochizuki often offers little resistance against stronger opponents, while Kotov regularly closes out his matches in straight sets.
Total Games Prediction
Most of Pavel Kotov's recent matches have ended quickly, in two sets. This trend reinforces the main scenario in which the match concludes without a deciding set.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Pavel Kotov's stronger match statistics and his run of convincing straight-sets wins make him the favourite here in terms of how this match is likely to unfold. Shintaro Mochizuki has often conceded sets without much resistance, and their previous meeting also went to Kotov 2-0. The main case centres on a short match - Total Sets - Under 2.5 looks the best option given both players' current form.
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Betting Tips: Shintaro Mochizuki - Pavel Kotov
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