Damm vs Mochizuki Prediction 24 September 2026
🔊 In the first round of the ATP 250 in Chengdu, Martin Damm makes his debut at this tournament, while Shintaro Mochizuki is appearing for the second time. The Japanese player's first attempt ended at the very start of the main draw, though he had to come through qualifying to get there, so he does have some experience on the Chinese courts. Whether that will be enough to give the American favourite a match remains to be seen.
Head-to-Head
📊 Shintaro Mochizuki leads the head-to-head 2-1. At the senior level the two players are level at 1-1, with both matches played on hard court and both decided in straight sets.
Head-to-head statistics Damm - Mochizuki
Martin Damm Player Overview
Martin Damm arrives at this tournament having won five of his last ten matches. During the American hard-court swing he made an impression with an upset over Daniil Medvedev in Winston-Salem, reaching the round of 16, and also took a set off Frances Tiafoe in the first round of the US Open. The average match involving the Czech lasts 24.6 games, with exactly half going his way. His main weapon is his serve, where his powerful delivery and two-metre frame help him win 83% of service points - a figure 1-2% above the tour average.
Match Results: Martin Damm
Shintaro Mochizuki Player Overview
Shintaro Mochizuki has won four of his last ten matches. He reached the Chengdu main draw through qualifying, beating Linang Xiao and Pavel Kotov, and those two wins ended a three-match losing streak that had begun with a failed final qualifying round at the US Open - though he did make the main draw there as a lucky loser, only to lose immediately to Jakub Mensik. On serve, Mochizuki holds just 68% of his service games, with a first-serve percentage of 53% contributing to that figure. On return, however, he converts more than half his break-point opportunities (51%).
Match Results: Shintaro Mochizuki
Key factors
- Martin Damm's matches average 24.6 games.
- Shintaro Mochizuki's matches average 23.7 games.
- Their most recent head-to-head went to three sets.
Expected scenario
The match looks set to be a closely contested affair with neither player dominating. Both players' high average match durations support the likelihood of another extended encounter here. Yes, the American has a serving advantage, but the Japanese player has experience on his side - albeit limited in Chengdu - along with strong return numbers.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Both players regularly produce high-intensity matches with a large number of games played, and their head-to-head meetings have followed a similar pattern - both at senior level were on hard court and went to three sets. Neither player has a clear edge in results or overall statistics, though their styles differ considerably. That contrast has likely contributed to high game totals in their previous encounters. We expect the same here. Our pick is Total Games - Over 21.5.
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Betting Tips: Martin Damm - Shintaro Mochizuki
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