Paul vs Davidovich Fokina Prediction 23 January 2026
🔊 Tommy Paul and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina are set to clash in the third round of the Australian Open. Despite trailing his opponent by six spots in the world rankings, the American enters as the bookmakers' favorite for this encounter. This match holds significant importance for both players, as a victory will secure a spot in the Round of 16 at one of the most prestigious tournaments of the season. Tommy Paul aims to assert his dominance following last year's win over this opponent, while Davidovich Fokina seeks revenge for that defeat. The match will unfold on Melbourne's outdoor hard courts, promising a stern test for both tennis players.
Head-to-Head
📊 Throughout their careers, Tommy Paul and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina have faced each other on the court 4 times, with the American tennis player winning all the matches.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Tommy Paul Player Overview
Tommy Paul is showcasing impressive form with four wins in his last five matches, including recent commanding victories over Tirante and Kovacevic in this tournament. This highlights his ability to take control of the game from the outset, with statistics indicating an 80% likelihood of winning the first set. He feels at home on hard courts, boasting a 60% first serve success rate and winning 77% of his service games. However, double faults occasionally disrupt his focus during crucial moments of a match. Notably, Tommy Paul has already defeated Davidovich Fokina twice without dropping a set, which further bolsters confidence in his chances.
Match Results: Tommy Paul
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Player Overview
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has been putting in solid performances, with four wins in his last five matches. His recent clash against Opelka was intense, as the Spaniard secured a hard-fought victory in five sets, showcasing his resilience and ability to fight till the end. However, such lengthy matches might take a toll on his physical condition ahead of the upcoming showdown with Paul. While his first serve success rate is higher (69%) than Paul's, his ace count is noticeably lower (5.6 compared to 7.5), which could be a decisive factor on Melbourne's fast surface.
Match Results: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Prediction on the outcome
- Tommy Paul has won in 6 of last 7 matches (ATP Australian Open).
Prediction on the over/under
- Under 41.5 games in last 6 Tommy Paul games (ATP Australian Open).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Based on an analysis of both athletes' form and playing style, we anticipate a fiercely contested match with a focus on the tactical elements of serving and returning. Considering Paul's hard court statistics and his ability to start matches aggressively (winning the first set seems more than likely), the key factor will be Davidovich Fokina's resilience after his previous long match against Opelka. We expect the American tennis player to apply pressure throughout the match. Our bet is on Paul's game handicap of (-1.5).
Betting Tips: Tommy Paul - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
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Other predictions
