Surface:
Red clay
Round:
1/8
Valerio Aboian
ARG
ATP - 340
07
:
07
:
01
Matias Soto
CHL
ATP - 265

Aboian vs Soto Prediction 22 October 2026

    🔊 Valerio Aboian and Matias Soto meet in the round of 16 of the Cali Challenger. The match is on clay, a surface on which the two have faced each other before. Both players arrive with differing statistical profiles, which adds interest to the analysis.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head record is level: Valerio Aboian and Matias Soto have each won one match, and their most recent meeting went to three sets.

    Head-to-head statistics Aboian - Soto

    50%
    1 Win
    50%
    1 Win
    27.03.25
    ATP Challenger Concepcion, Chile Men Singles
    Matias Soto
    Matias Soto
    Valerio Aboian
    Valerio Aboian
    2
    1
    77
    65
    3
    6
    6
    1
    14.12.23
    ITF Chile F2
    Matias Soto
    Matias Soto
    Valerio Aboian
    Valerio Aboian
    1
    2
    77
    65
    4
    6
    1
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Valerio Aboian Player Overview

    Valerio Aboian has been inconsistent over his last ten matches, winning six and losing four. In his most recent match he beat Facundo Mena at this same tournament, which suggests he is in reasonable shape for the current event. His matches average 22.6 games, pointing to a tendency towards relatively compact encounters. He wins around 70% of his service games and converts 37% of his break points. That said, he has lost in straight sets three times in those ten matches, while winning without dropping a set just once. Overall, Aboian's numbers suggest he rarely produces extended runs and tends to finish matches without prolonged sets.

    Match Results: Valerio Aboian

    21.10.26
    Challenger Cali
    Facundo Mena
    Facundo Mena
    Valerio Aboian
    Valerio Aboian
    1
    2
    6
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    W
    13.10.26
    ATP Challenger Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia Men Singles
    Valerio Aboian
    Valerio Aboian
    Franco Roncadelli
    Franco Roncadelli
    1
    2
    7
    5
    0
    6
    3
    6
    L
    05.10.26
    Challenger Antofagasta
    Genaro Alberto Olivieri
    Genaro Alberto Olivieri
    Valerio Aboian
    Valerio Aboian
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    4
    L
    24.09.26
    ATP Challenger Buenos Aires II, ARG Men Singles
    Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
    Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
    Valerio Aboian
    Valerio Aboian
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    1
    L
    22.09.26
    ATP Challenger Buenos Aires II, ARG Men Singles
    Genaro Alberto Olivieri
    Genaro Alberto Olivieri
    Valerio Aboian
    Valerio Aboian
    1
    2
    6
    1
    2
    6
    3
    6
    W
    Empty
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    Matias Soto Player Overview

    Matias Soto goes into this match without recent form data or statistics from his last ten matches - there is no information on his recent results. In head-to-head meetings against Aboyan, he has won one of two encounters, with that win coming in a three-set match. The under trend in his matches is particularly pronounced: fewer than 25.5 games has come in 15 of his last 16 matches. This suggests a tendency towards short matches regardless of opponent or tournament stage.

    Match Results: Matias Soto

    20.10.26
    Challenger Cali
    Matias Soto
    Matias Soto
    Samuel Heredia
    Samuel Heredia
    2
    1
    710
    68
    4
    6
    6
    2
    W
    06.10.26
    Challenger Antofagasta
    Thiago Seyboth
    Thiago Seyboth
    Matias Soto
    Matias Soto
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    L
    29.09.26
    Challenger Curitiba
    Matias Soto
    Matias Soto
    Lautaro Midon
    Lautaro Midon
    0
    2
    3
    6
    3
    6
    L
    20.09.26
    Davis Cup
    Matias Soto
    Matias Soto
    Martin Landaluce
    Martin Landaluce
    0
    2
    2
    6
    3
    6
    L
    11.09.26
    ATP Challenger Tulln, Austria Men Singles
    Matias Soto
    Matias Soto
    Vitaliy Sachko
    Vitaliy Sachko
    1
    2
    3
    6
    6
    1
    2
    6
    L
    Empty
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    Key factors

    • Valerio Aboian frequently plays matches with a low total game count.
    • Matias Soto's trend towards Total Games - Under 25.5 reflects a tendency for short matches.
    • Over his last 10 matches, Aboian has averaged 22.6 games.
    • Their head-to-head meetings have not produced any lengthy matches.

    Expected scenario

    The main scenario revolves around a two-set match without lengthy sets - Valerio Aboian's average game count is low, and Matias Soto tends towards short matches based on the Under trend. The lack of recent form data for Soto adds uncertainty, but gives no reason to expect a prolonged contest - a bet on the Under looks justified.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Neither player tends to produce long matches: Valerio Aboian's average game total consistently sits below the typical lines for a men's Challenger, while Matias Soto has shown a clear tendency towards low game counts in almost all of his recent matches. Their head-to-head meetings have also been short, with little extended set-by-set competition. The main scenario is a straight-sets finish without the total climbing past the higher threshold. The pick is Total Games - Under 22.5.
    Total Under (22,5)
    Odds-128
    Published: 22/10/2026, 06:37
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
    96
    2
    67
    165 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Valerio Aboian - Matias Soto

    Matias Soto has lost the 2nd set:
    soto-matiasin last 4 matches.
    2nd Set Valerio Aboian to Win
    +122
    Under 25.5 games:
    soto-matiasin 15 of last 16 Matias Soto games.
    Total Under (25,5)
    -217