Shevchenko vs Hurkacz Prediction 24 September 2026
🔊 Alexander Shevchenko arrives in Chengdu needing to defend the ranking points he earned at last year's semi-final. Standing in his way is Hubert Hurkacz, for whom this will be a debut appearance at the tournament. The Pole's chances look considerably stronger - he has never lost to Shevchenko, while Shevchenko arrives on a three-match losing streak. That makes it all the more interesting to see whether the underdog can pull himself together and get close to the form he showed at last year's Chengdu event.
Head-to-Head
📊 Hubert Hurkacz has won all four of their head-to-head meetings against Alexander Shevchenko. Across those matches, the Kazakhstani managed to take just two sets off the Pole in total.
Head-to-head statistics Shevchenko - Hurkacz
Alexander Shevchenko Player Overview
Alexander Shevchenko arrives at the first round in Chengdu on a three-match losing streak, having won just 1 of 5 matches since the current hard-court swing began. That said, in three of those defeats he took at least a set, and in his most recent match - in the first round of the US Open main draw - he pushed Dino Prizmic to five sets. Shevchenko is not one to give up without a fight, as his average match length of 24.2 games suggests. He holds serve in 84% of service games, but his return game is a weak point, with a break-point conversion rate of just 28%.
Match Results: Alexander Shevchenko
Hubert Hurkacz Player Overview
Hubert Hurkacz is ranked 46th, compared to 93rd for Shevchenko, and has won seven of his last ten matches. He recently took the title at the Cancún Challenger, then made a solid start at the US Open before losing in the second round to eventual finalist Ben Shelton. His matches average 22.8 games, with no large winning margins. He holds 79% of his service games and converts 41% of break points. He has not lost without winning a set in his last ten matches - in fact, he has won four of those matches without dropping a set.
Match Results: Hubert Hurkacz
Key factors
- Alexander Shevchenko has covered the handicap (+4.5) in 8 of his last 9 matches.
- The average number of games per match is 24.2 for Shevchenko and 22.8 for Hurkacz.
- Last year Shevchenko reached the semi-finals in Chengdu.
Expected scenario
With the ranking advantage and head-to-head record in his favour, Hubert Hurkacz is likely to dictate the pace of play. That said, Alexander Shevchenko regularly keeps the game count close even against higher-ranked opponents. Average match length has been high for both players, which fits with a potentially tight scoreline in this match.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Alexander Shevchenko's current form is mixed: he alternates between straight-sets defeats and equally convincing wins against difficult opponents. The Kazakh rarely loses heavily - the positive games handicap has come in for him in most recent matches regardless of the result. The level of resistance Shevchenko offers suggests the margin could stay small here too, even if Hubert Hurkacz holds the upper hand during the match. Our pick - Shevchenko - Games Handicap +4.5.
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Betting Tips: Alexander Shevchenko - Hubert Hurkacz
in last 4 matches against Hubert Hurkacz..svg)
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