Surface:
Red clay
Round:
1/8
Matej Dodig
HRV
ATP - 138
16
:
10
:
10
Marco Cecchinato
ITA
ATP - 164

Matej Dodig vs Cecchinato Prediction 21 October 2026

    🔊 Matej Dodig and Marco Cecchinato meet in the round of 16 of the Lisbon Challenger. The match is on clay, a surface that tends to produce long rallies for both players. The outcome will largely depend on who handles extended exchanges better and manages to impose their game.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The only previous meeting between the two went to Matej Dodig in three sets.

    Head-to-head statistics Matej Dodig - Cecchinato

    100%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Wins
    01.04.25
    Italy Barletta, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    Marco Cecchinato
    Marco Cecchinato
    2
    1
    6
    1
    1
    6
    6
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Matej Dodig Player Overview

    Matej Dodig arrives at this match in excellent form, with 9 wins from his last 10 matches. In his previous outing he beat João Domingues in the first round. Statistically, he holds a high service games won percentage (69%) and a solid break-point conversion rate (42%). Opponents have beaten him just once in those last ten matches, and on six occasions he won without dropping a set. He has also taken the first set in 90% of matches over that stretch, with an average of 21.3 games per match - just above the line - suggesting that even when ahead he tends to play relatively long sets.

    Match Results: Matej Dodig

    20.10.26
    Lisbon
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    Joao Domingues
    Joao Domingues
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    3
    W
    17.10.26
    ATP Challenger Maia, Portugal
    Francesco Passaro
    Francesco Passaro
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    2
    1
    5
    7
    6
    1
    6
    4
    L
    16.10.26
    ATP Challenger Maia, Portugal
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    Tristan Boyer
    Tristan Boyer
    2
    0
    6
    4
    77
    64
    W
    15.10.26
    ATP Challenger Maia, Portugal
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    Lukas Neumayer
    Lukas Neumayer
    2
    1
    6
    4
    4
    6
    6
    3
    W
    14.10.26
    ATP Challenger Maia, Portugal
    Pedro Martinez Portero
    Pedro Martinez Portero
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    0
    2
    2
    6
    1
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Marco Cecchinato Player Overview

    Marco Cecchinato has been inconsistent, winning just 4 of his last 10 matches. In the previous round he beat Vilius Gaubas, but before that he had lost in the opening round twice. Despite his patchy form and five straight-sets defeats in recent matches, Cecchinato has covered the +4.5 games handicap in six of his last seven matches - he tends to hold serve and take individual sets even against stronger opponents. His average games per match, at 23.7, is notably above the total line, and he holds his service games 76% of the time. He loses the first set 40% of the time but is capable of coming back during a match.

    Match Results: Marco Cecchinato

    19.10.26
    Lisbon
    Marco Cecchinato
    Marco Cecchinato
    Vilius Gaubas
    Vilius Gaubas
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
    13.10.26
    ATP Challenger Catania, Italy Men Singles
    Marco Cecchinato
    Marco Cecchinato
    Pedro Vives Marcos
    Pedro Vives Marcos
    0
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    L
    07.10.26
    Portugal, Braga
    Marco Cecchinato
    Marco Cecchinato
    Olle Wallin
    Olle Wallin
    0
    2
    64
    77
    0
    6
    L
    18.09.26
    Poland Szczecin, ATP Challenger Men
    Marco Cecchinato
    Marco Cecchinato
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    0
    2
    66
    78
    5
    7
    L
    17.09.26
    Poland Szczecin, ATP Challenger Men
    Marco Cecchinato
    Marco Cecchinato
    Marvin Moeller
    Marvin Moeller
    2
    1
    77
    65
    64
    77
    6
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Key factors

    • The average number of games per match is 21.3 for Matej Dodig and 23.7 for Marco Cecchinato.
    • Marco Cecchinato has covered the +4.5 games handicap in 6 of his last 7 matches.
    • The head-to-head meeting between these two players went to three sets.
    • Matej Dodig has won 79% of sets in recent matches, though opponents have taken sets off him.

    Expected scenario

    Dodig looks the clear favourite on form and statistics, though Cecchinato is capable of making it competitive and taking enough games to push the total over the line. Both players frequently feature in matches with extended sets or three-set finishes - a scenario that fits naturally with the over bet.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Matej Dodig is in considerably better form, but Marco Cecchinato often stays competitive against higher-ranked opponents and tends to push the total games up even in defeat. Both players' averages exceed the over line, and their head-to-head has already gone to three sets. The scenario points to at least one extended set or a close finish - the bet looks justified for this kind of match. The pick is Total Games - Over 21.5.
    Total Over (21,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-111
    Published: 20/10/2026, 18:26
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
    79
    0
    56
    135 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

    Will this prediction come true?

    Total votes cast: 0

    No comments

    Minimum 20 characters, maximum 500 characters

    Betting Tips: Matej Dodig - Marco Cecchinato

    Matej Dodig has won the 1st set:
    matej-dodigin 9 of last 10 matches.
    1st Set Matej Dodig to Win
    Bovada
    -233
    Matej Dodig has won:
    matej-dodigin 9 of last 10 matches.
    Matej Dodig to Win
    Bovada
    -303
    Matej Dodig won with a -2.5 games handicap:
    matej-dodigin 9 of last 10 matches.
    Matej Dodig Handicap (-2,5)
    -208
    Marco Cecchinato won with a +4.5 games handicap:
    cecchinato-marcoin 6 of last 7 matches.
    Marco Cecchinato Handicap (+4,5)
    -169