Surface:
Hard
Round:
Quarterfinal
Roman Safiullin
RUS
ATP - 103
0
:
2
Ended
Hubert Hurkacz
POL
ATP - 69

Safiullin vs Hurkacz Prediction 21 August 2026

Details
The main thing
    RUS
    Roman Safiullin
    POL
    Hubert Hurkacz
    4
    3
    0
    6
    6
    2

    🔊 In the quarterfinal of the Cancun Challenger on outdoor hard courts, Roman Safiullin and Hubert Hurkacz will face each other. Both players come into the match in good form, and the statistics on games won point to the potential for long sets. On this surface, both players typically show stable serving.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The players have met once before, with the Pole winning that match. Their head-to-head took place back in 2017 and has no significant bearing on the current situation.

    Head-to-head statistics Safiullin - Hurkacz

    0%
    0 Wins
    100%
    2 Wins
    21.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    29.10.17
    China Shenzhen II, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    0
    2
    2
    6
    4
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Roman Safiullin Player Overview

    Roman Safiullin comes into this quarterfinal in excellent form - he has won 8 of his last 10 matches, including confident performances against Sebastian Ofner and Stan Wawrinka in Cancun. On average, his matches go through 34 games, which points to a tendency for extended sets. Safiullin wins 79% of his service games and also shows a high first-serve percentage of 68%. On top of that, he rarely loses without taking a set: in his last ten matches, he has not suffered a single straight-sets defeat.

    Match Results: Roman Safiullin

    31.08.26
    USO
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    0
    3
    4
    6
    4
    6
    4
    6
    L
    24.08.26
    WIN
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Hugo Grenier
    Hugo Grenier
    1
    2
    66
    78
    6
    4
    3
    6
    L
    21.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    L
    20.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Stan Wawrinka
    Stan Wawrinka
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    18.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Sebastian Ofner
    Sebastian Ofner
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    Empty
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    Hubert Hurkacz Player Overview

    Hubert Hurkacz is also showing consistent results - he has won 7 of his last 10 matches and recently beat Enrique Rocha in Cancun. His serve hold rate matches his opponent's - also at 79%, which makes breaking serve more difficult in such matchups. On average his matches are shorter (27 games), however the streak of matches going over 22.5 is supported by recent statistics: that outcome was recorded in six of his last seven matches.

    Match Results: Hubert Hurkacz

    31.08.26
    USO
    Damir Dzumhur
    Damir Dzumhur
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    1
    3
    4
    6
    6
    4
    1
    6
    1
    6
    W
    24.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    1
    2
    6
    4
    0
    6
    3
    6
    W
    22.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Moez Echargui
    Moez Echargui
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    21.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    W
    20.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Henrique Rocha
    Henrique Rocha
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    1
    2
    2
    6
    6
    4
    4
    6
    W
    Empty
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    Key factors

    • Total over 22.5 games has landed in 6 of the last 7 matches involving Hubert Hurkacz.
    • Both players win 79% of their service games, which contributes to extended sets.
    • The average number of games in Safiullin's matches is 34.1, in Hurkacz's - 27.2.
    • Safiullin and Hurkacz rarely lose without taking a set: neither has suffered a 0:2 defeat in their last 10 matches.

    Expected scenario

    A competitive match is expected with both players focusing on holding serve, the probability of a third set is assessed as moderate, and tie-breaks do not look like the main scenario. Most games may be played on the strength of high hold rates from both sides, which aligns well with a long match duration.

    Total Prediction

    This trend reflects the regular exceeding of a high total threshold even in relatively short matches - the strong serving reliability of both players contributes to a higher number of games played regardless of the final set score.

    ⭐ Editor's prediction

    The form of both players suggests a competitive quarterfinal with no clear gap in class or physical condition. High hold rates on serve create the conditions for long sets and a high game count regardless of how the match unfolds. The bet is total over 21.5 games.
    Total Over (21,5)
    Published: 21/08/2026, 09:28
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis expert
    12
    0
    9
    21 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Roman Safiullin - Hubert Hurkacz

    Roman Safiullin has won the 2nd set:
    safiullin-romanin 7 of last 8 matches.
    2nd Set Roman Safiullin Win
    +126
    Roman Safiullin has won the 1st set:
    safiullin-romanin last 4 matches.
    1st Set Roman Safiullin Win
    Bovada
    +120
    Hubert Hurkacz has won the 1st set:
    hurkacz-hubertin 9 of last 10 matches.
    1st Set Hubert Hurkacz Win
    Bovada
    -154
    Roman Safiullin has won over 11.5 games:
    safiullin-romanin 21 of last 22 matches.
    Roman Safiullin Total Over (11,5)
    -196
    View more facts