Gauff vs Kostyuk Prediction 22 August 2026
🔊 The Cincinnati quarterfinal brings together two of the most tenacious players on tour - Coco Gauff and Marta Kostyuk. The two know each other's strengths well, can grind through extended rallies, and never switch off until the last point. For both of them, this match is the perfect litmus test before the US Open, so the court is sure to be hot in every sense of the word.
Head-to-Head
📊 In five head-to-head meetings, Cori Gauff leads 3:2, however the last match went to Marta Kostyuk. The head-to-head record gives neither player a clear advantage and adds intrigue ahead of this quarterfinal.
Head-to-head statistics Gauff - Kostyuk
Cori Gauff Player Overview
The American is having a very solid stretch of the season: shortly before this she reached the semifinals in Toronto, where she lost to Elena Rybakina in three sets. Hard court is her favorite surface, and the home crowd traditionally pushes Cori forward. Over her last ten matches, the American has a high percentage of sets won (73%) and games won (59%), and she consistently holds her serve (68%). On average her matches last nearly 20 games, which confirms her ability to compete over the long haul even against top-level opponents.
Gauff is steadily building momentum through the draw. She showed character in her match against Liudmila Samsonova (2:6, 6:4, 6:1). In the next round, Cori handled Ann Li without much trouble. In the Round of 16, the American confidently outplayed Czech player Marie Bouzková. Gauff is displaying incredible movement at the baseline, phenomenal defense, and constant counter-attacking. However, she still has recurring problems with her serve (6 double faults in her last match), which gives opponents chances to break.
Match Results: Cori Gauff
Marta Kostyuk Player Overview
For Kostyuk, 2026 on hard courts has been outstanding - she has won around 80% of her matches on this surface. Last week in Toronto, Marta lost to Iga Świątek in a tough battle, but showed she is capable of competing on equal terms with the elite of world tennis.
Marta is in great form - she has won 8 of her last 10 matches. In Cincinnati she has already beaten Sofia Kenin, Sloane Stephens and Mirra Andreeva. The Ukrainian player has a high break-point conversion rate (57%) and a similar percentage of games won (59%). On her serve she holds around two-thirds of games (67%), and the average number of games in her matches reaches 22 - one of the highest figures among the participants at this stage. The most recent head-to-head match against Gauff ended in a 2-0 victory for Marta.
Match Results: Marta Kostyuk
Key factors
- The average number of games per match for both players exceeds 19.
- In their last 10 matches, both players have a high percentage of sets and games won.
- Their head-to-head meetings have often been closely contested, with the most recent ending in a win for Marta Kostyuk.
- Both players have moved through the early rounds of the tournament comfortably and are showing consistent form.
Expected scenario
The match is expected to be competitive: both players are in good form and capable of pushing each other to at least two tight sets. The probability of a third set is assessed as moderate, so the total number of games could end up high even without a tie-break or a prolonged deciding set. This scenario is consistent with taking the over.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Given the current form of both players and their head-to-head record, there are reasons to expect a lengthy match without a quick finish in two short sets. The sets won and games played statistics increase the likelihood of the high total line coming through even in a classic scenario of two extended sets or a possible third set. The bet is total over 22.5 games.
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Betting Tips: Cori Gauff - Marta Kostyuk
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