Surface:
Hard
Round:
Final
Elina Svitolina
UKR
WTA - 9
0
:
2
Ended
Jessica Pegula
USA
WTA - 5

Svitolina vs Pegula Prediction 21 February 2026

    UKR
    Elina Svitolina
    USA
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    4
    0
    6
    6
    2

    🔊 Can Jessica Pegula clinch her first Masters title in Dubai? In the tournament's final showdown, she faces two-time champion Elina Svitolina. You couldn't ask for a better finale: two seasoned players who ousted their young and promising opponents in the semifinals now go head-to-head. Will experience tip the scales for the trophy? Our editorial team offers a prediction on each athlete's chances.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These two tennis players share a rich history of head-to-head matchups. They've faced each other eight times, with Pegula coming out on top in five of those encounters. However, Svitolina celebrated a three-set victory in last year's hard-court Masters event in Indian Wells. Notably, the majority of their matches-5 out of 8-have gone the distance with three sets.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    33%
    3 Wins
    67%
    6 Wins
    21.02.26
    Dubai (WTA)
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    0
    2
    2
    6
    4
    6
    11.03.25
    USA Indian Wells
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    1
    5
    7
    6
    1
    6
    2
    11.02.25
    WTA Doha
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    0
    2
    3
    6
    6
    7
    29.07.24
    Olympic Tournament Women Singles
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    1
    2
    6
    4
    1
    6
    3
    6
    02.09.23
    USO
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    4
    2
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Elina Svitolina Player Overview

    Elina Svitolina is showcasing excellent form this season, suffering only two losses and securing a title in Auckland. Her style isn't typical for hard courts; she focuses more on precision than power, landing 62% of her serves and winning 61% of her service games. Additionally, Elina displays consistent return play, converting more than half of her break points. This counter-attacking approach makes Svitolina unpredictable for her opponents, as she can hit winners from the first shot or during extended rallies. Her forehand is particularly impressive, ready to be unleashed at any moment during baseline exchanges. 

    Match Results: Elina Svitolina

    02.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    1
    2
    3
    6
    6
    2
    2
    6
    L
    31.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Belinda Bencic
    Belinda Bencic
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    4
    6
    0
    W
    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Tamara Korpatsch
    Tamara Korpatsch
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    3
    W
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Kaitlin Quevedo
    Kaitlin Quevedo
    2
    0
    6
    0
    6
    4
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Anna Bondar
    Anna Bondar
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    1
    7
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Jessica Pegula Player Overview

    Jessica Pegula is also in excellent form, matching her upcoming opponent in losses this season, though she hasn't secured any titles yet due to slightly less match sharpness. Nevertheless, she boasts an impressive 14-2 record on hard courts in 2026 and has a more reliable first serve than her Ukrainian counterpart, adding significantly more pace to the ball. While her return game may not be as effective-converting less than half of her break points-this skill isn't always crucial on blue courts. Jess has the ability to finish rallies in just a few strokes, avoiding long exchanges.

    Match Results: Jessica Pegula

    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Kimberly Birrell
    Kimberly Birrell
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    1
    1
    6
    6
    3
    6
    3
    L
    13.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
    L
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Anastasia Potapova
    Anastasia Potapova
    2
    0
    78
    66
    6
    2
    W
    10.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Rebeka Masarova
    Rebeka Masarova
    2
    0
    6
    0
    6
    0
    W
    08.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Zeynep Sonmez
    Zeynep Sonmez
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Prediction on the outcome

    Trends
    • Elina Svitolina won with a +4.5 games handicap in last 5 matches against Jessica Pegula.
    👉Prediction: Elina Svitolina Handicap (+4.5)(odds: 1.46)

    Prediction on the over/under

    Trends
    • Over 21.5 games in last 5 Elina Svitolina games against Jessica Pegula.
    👉Prediction: Total Over (21.5)(odds: 1.75)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both players are in excellent form, showcasing impressive performances on hard courts. Elina Svitolina stands out for her serving consistency and effective return game, successfully converting more than half of her break points, thanks in part to her baseline control. Jessica Pegula, a typical product of the American tennis school, focuses on powerful shots, with her reliability evidenced by fewer unforced errors despite a more aggressive style. When considering a bet for the upcoming match, it's worth recalling their head-to-head stats, with the last five encounters each featuring at least 22 games. Therefore, we suggest considering a bet on the total over 21.5.

    Our choice
    Total Over (21.5) at odds of -137*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (20 February 2026, 20:39)

    Betting Tips: Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula

    Elina Svitolina has lost the 1st set
    svitolina-elinapegula-jessicain 6 of last 7 matches against Jessica Pegula.
    1st Set Jessica Pegula Win
    Bovada
    -149
    Elina Svitolina has won the 3rd set
    svitolina-elinain last 3 matches (WTA Dubai).
    3rd Set Elina Svitolina Win
    +110
    Jessica Pegula has won
    pegula-jessicain 9 of last 10 matches.
    Jessica Pegula Win
    Bovada
    -175
    Elina Svitolina has won
    svitolina-elinain 17 of last 19 matches.
    Elina Svitolina Win
    MyBookie
    +335
    View more facts