Surface:
Hard
Round:
Final
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP
ATP - 1
2
:
0
Ended
Arthur Fils
FRA
ATP - 40

Alcaraz vs Fils Prediction 21 February 2026

    ESP
    Carlos Alcaraz
    FRA
    Arthur Fils
    6
    6
    2
    2
    1
    0

    🔊 In the final of the men's tennis tournament in Doha, Carlos Alcaraz and Arthur Fils will face off. Ranked 1st and 40th in the world respectively, bookmakers have pegged the Spaniard as the clear favorite for the upcoming match, with little doubt about his victory. Can the Frenchman offer any resistance to his opponent? Read our analytical piece for a detailed prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Carlos Alcaraz and Arthur Fils have faced each other just twice, with the Spanish tennis player winning both encounters. Their most recent head-to-head took place last year on Barcelona's clay courts, where Alcaraz overcame his opponent in straight sets.

    Head-to-head statistics Alcaraz - Fils

    100%
    3 Wins
    0%
    0 Wins
    21.02.26
    DOH
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Arthur Fils
    Arthur Fils
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    1
    19.04.25
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Arthur Fils
    Arthur Fils
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    11.04.25
    MON
    Arthur Fils
    Arthur Fils
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    1
    2
    6
    4
    5
    7
    3
    6
    20.06.23
    Great Britain London
    Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
    Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
    Fils, Arthur
    Fils, Arthur
    -
    -
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Carlos Alcaraz Player Overview

    🎾 Carlos Alcaraz's last visit to Doha was less than successful: back in 2025, he exited the tournament at the quarterfinal stage. Now, beyond the lucrative prize money, he has a chance to rack up a significant number of ranking points. This season, Carlos is undefeated, boasting 12 victories, all on hard courts.

    🔔 In the opening rounds, Alcaraz faced little resistance from his opponents and cruised into the third round. The challenges intensified against Russian players: he defeated Karen Khachanov in three sets and Andrey Rublev in two. Despite the scoreline, the semifinal clash against Rublev was tightly contested, with the Russian refusing to go down without a fight. In that match, the Spaniard managed just 3 aces and had a 68% first-serve success rate, but it was enough to secure his spot in the final.

    Match Results: Carlos Alcaraz

    12.10.26
    SHA
    Zizou Bergs
    Zizou Bergs
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    2
    0
    7
    5
    77
    64
    L
    10.10.26
    SHA
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    0
    2
    3
    6
    3
    6
    W
    06.10.26
    TOK
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Jiri Lehecka
    Jiri Lehecka
    2
    0
    77
    64
    6
    4
    W
    05.10.26
    TOK
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
    Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
    2
    1
    5
    7
    6
    3
    6
    1
    W
    04.10.26
    TOK
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Denis Shapovalov
    Denis Shapovalov
    1
    0
    7
    6
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Arthur Fils Player Overview

    🎾 Fils has surprised many with his deep run in this tournament, especially since he had never competed in Doha before, yet he reached the final-a feat not many achieve on their first attempt. This season, Arthur boasts a record of 4-0 on outdoor hard courts and 2-2 indoors, painting a promising picture of his overall form with 6 wins and 2 losses.

    🔔 The current tournament has been relatively straightforward for Fils. Only in the first round did he need three sets to overcome Poland's Kamil Majchrzak, while all other matches were wrapped up in straight sets. In the semifinals, the Frenchman faced Jakub Mensik and entered as the bookmakers' underdog. However, a solid first serve percentage (67%) and 5 aces helped Fils secure a 2-0 victory (6-4, 7-6).

    Match Results: Arthur Fils

    12.10.26
    SHA
    Arthur Fils
    Arthur Fils
    Botic Van De Zandschulp
    Botic Van De Zandschulp
    0
    2
    5
    7
    4
    6
    L
    10.10.26
    SHA
    Arthur Fils
    Arthur Fils
    Pavel Kotov
    Pavel Kotov
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    04.10.26
    TOK
    Valentin Vacherot
    Valentin Vacherot
    Arthur Fils
    Arthur Fils
    2
    1
    7
    5
    4
    6
    6
    4
    L
    02.10.26
    TOK
    Arthur Fils
    Arthur Fils
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    2
    0
    6
    3
    7
    5
    W
    30.09.26
    TOK
    Arthur Fils
    Arthur Fils
    Luca Van Assche
    Luca Van Assche
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editor's Prediction

    Carlos Alcaraz has been pushed hard in his last two matches, draining a significant amount of energy from the world No.1. With such a packed schedule, even a top-tier player might struggle to maintain peak physical condition. Let's not overlook the grueling Australian Open that the Spaniard recently endured as well. Against this backdrop, Fils stands a strong chance of challenging Carlos, making a bet on Arthur's individual total over 7.5 games seem worthwhile.

    Arthur Fils Total Over (7,5)
    Odds-192
    Published: 21/02/2026, 01:39

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    Betting Tips: Carlos Alcaraz - Arthur Fils

    Carlos Alcaraz has won:
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 5 matches.
    Carlos Alcaraz to Win
    Bovada
    -909
    Arthur Fils has won the 2nd set:
    fils-arthur-1in last 4 matches (ATP Doha).
    2nd Set Arthur Fils to Win
    +850
    Carlos Alcaraz has won the 2nd set:
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 4 matches (ATP Doha).
    2nd Set Carlos Alcaraz to Win
    -3333
    Arthur Fils has won over 7.5 games:
    fils-arthur-1in 9 of last 10 matches.
    Arthur Fils Total Over (7,5)
    -192
    View more facts