Djokovic vs Alcaraz Prediction 21 January 2025

Will Novak Djokovic handle Carlos Alcaraz in the Australian Open quarterfinals in the same manner as he did at the Olympic Games five months ago (7-6;7-6)? This is the main question our prediction revolves around. Note that on hard courts, the tennis players have previously measured forces twice, and in both cases, the Serb was more nimble.

Novak Djokovic

Djokovic continues to gradually improve under the guidance of Andy Murray, which will likely eventually lead to conquering his 25th major in his career. This time, Novak was lucky to be in the draw with players from the new generation. However, he avoided colossal stress (two lost sets in four games). Last winter, the Serbian representative also stayed in Melbourne for a long time (top-4), failing to break Yannick Sinner's resistance. The athlete's serve is still working relatively well (5 breaks and 55 aces in the tournament), which allows saving a lot of energy.

Carlos Alcaraz

Alcaraz has not yet celebrated triumphs in Melbourne. But it's not about poor adaptation to conditions. Carlos gave up just one set on his way to the coveted cup, spending a total of seven and a half hours on the court. The Spaniard accounted for 166 actively won points during the championship, as well as making 120 unforced errors. The athlete continues his pursuit of Yannick Sinner in the race for the world ranking leadership, although the gap is quite high (several thousand points).

Editorial Prediction

In this match, Djokovic, in our firm belief, will once again not let Alcaraz get away with an easy walk. Novak has not expended too much energy, and we expect that due to his excellent physical condition and impressive experience, he will once again make Carlos sweat considerably. A victory for the world's seventh racket with a handicap of +3.5 is the best choice for the match.