Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/32
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP
ATP - 1
2
:
0
Ended
Joao Fonseca
BRA
ATP - 39

Alcaraz vs Fonseca Prediction 21 March 2026

    ESP
    Carlos Alcaraz
    BRA
    Joao Fonseca
    6
    6
    2
    4
    4
    0

    🔊 Carlos Alcaraz and Joao Fonseca are set to clash in the round of 64 at the Miami Open on outdoor hard courts. This matchup holds significant importance, particularly for Fonseca, who is eager to prove his form against one of the world's top players. For Alcaraz, it's an opportunity to demonstrate his dominance on this surface following a recent defeat to Medvedev. The hard court conditions favor the aggressive style of both players, promising an exciting encounter.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Throughout their careers, Carlos Alcaraz and Joao Fonseca have faced each other on the court once, with the Spanish tennis player emerging victorious in that match.

    Head-to-head statistics Alcaraz - Fonseca

    100%
    2 Wins
    0%
    0 Wins
    21.03.26
    MIA
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Joao Fonseca
    Joao Fonseca
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    09.12.25
    Miami Invitational
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Joao Fonseca
    Joao Fonseca
    2
    1
    7
    5
    2
    6
    10
    8
    Empty
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    Carlos Alcaraz Player Overview

    Carlos Alcaraz currently holds the top spot in the world rankings and is considered one of the most promising young talents in the game today. In his last five matches, he has secured four victories, with his only defeat coming at the hands of Daniil Medvedev, losing 3-6, 6-7. On hard courts, Carlos showcases a confident game with a high first-serve success rate of 73% and an ability to hold his service games at 73%. However, his Achilles' heel remains double faults, which could prove decisive against less predictable opponents.

    Match Results: Carlos Alcaraz

    31.08.26
    USO
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    0
    3
    4
    6
    4
    6
    4
    6
    W
    17.04.26
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    -
    -
    L
    14.04.26
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Otto Virtanen
    Otto Virtanen
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    12.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    0
    2
    65
    77
    3
    6
    L
    11.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Valentin Vacherot
    Valentin Vacherot
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
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    Joao Fonseca Player Overview

    Joao Fonseca continues his upward trajectory, currently sitting at 39th in the ATP rankings. He has claimed victory in four of his last five matches, including a hard-fought battle against Fabian Marozsan with scores of 4-6, 6-3, 2-6. Despite facing high-caliber opponents like Jannik Sinner and Tommy Paul, Joao maintains a consistent level of play, boasting an impressive 65% win rate on his serve. However, he struggles with frequent errors on his second serve and a low break point conversion rate of 35%, which could be crucial in a matchup against a player like Alcaraz.

    Match Results: Joao Fonseca

    18.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Joao Fonseca
    Joao Fonseca
    Christopher O'Connell
    Christopher O'Connell
    -
    -
    L
    16.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Joao Fonseca
    Joao Fonseca
    Botic Van De Zandschulp
    Botic Van De Zandschulp
    2
    0
    6
    4
    77
    62
    W
    09.08.26
    Canada Montreal
    Joao Fonseca
    Joao Fonseca
    Ben Shelton
    Ben Shelton
    0
    2
    3
    6
    63
    77
    L
    07.08.26
    Canada Montreal
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    Joao Fonseca
    Joao Fonseca
    0
    2
    66
    78
    3
    6
    W
    05.08.26
    Canada Montreal
    Stefanos Tsitsipas
    Stefanos Tsitsipas
    Joao Fonseca
    Joao Fonseca
    0
    2
    6
    7
    5
    7
    W
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    Prediction on the outcome

    Trends
    • Joao Fonseca won with a +4.5 games handicap in last 9 matches.
    👉Prediction: Joao Fonseca Handicap (+4,5)(odds: 1.85)

    Prediction on the over/under

    Trends
    • Over 19.5 games in 10 of last 11 Joao Fonseca games.
    👉Prediction: Total Over (19,5)(odds: 1.53)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    The matchup between Carlos Alcaraz and Joao Fonseca promises to be intriguing due to the clash of styles-Alcaraz's powerful offense against Fonseca's resilience. Considering their recent performances and head-to-head stats, with Alcaraz having edged out a win in their previous three-set encounter, Fonseca is expected to put up a strong resistance on the Miami hard courts. The predicted scenario involves a battle for every game, with the likelihood of tiebreaks or extended sets due to the balanced distribution of each player's strengths. Based on recent betting trends, we recommend placing a bet on over 19.5 games, as this outcome has been typical in most of Fonseca's recent matches.

    Total Over (19,5)
    Published: 20/03/2026, 06:05

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    Betting Tips: Carlos Alcaraz - Joao Fonseca

    Carlos Alcaraz has won:
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain 10 of last 11 matches.
    Carlos Alcaraz Win
    Bovada
    -769
    Carlos Alcaraz has won the 2nd set:
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain 9 of last 10 matches.
    2nd Set Carlos Alcaraz Win
    -455
    Joao Fonseca has won over 9.5 games:
    joao-fonseca-1in last 14 matches.
    Joao Fonseca Total Over (9,5)
    +113
    Over 19.5 games:
    joao-fonseca-1in 10 of last 11 Joao Fonseca games.
    Total Over (19,5)
    -200
    View more facts