Surface:
Red clay
Round:
1/16
Thiago Monteiro
BRA
ATP - 235
01
:
32
:
47
Watch live
Alejandro Moro Canas
ESP
ATP - 233

Monteiro vs Canas Prediction 19 October 2026

    🔊 In the first round of the Lisbon Challenger on clay, Thiago Monteiro takes on Alejandro Moro Cañas. The two players are close in the rankings but arrive with different recent form. Current form is likely to be a key factor in this match.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Thiago Monteiro won the only previous meeting between the two.

    Head-to-head statistics Monteiro - Canas

    100%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Wins
    12.07.24
    Challenger Salzburg
    Alejandro Moro Canas
    Alejandro Moro Canas
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    0
    2
    2
    6
    1
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Thiago Monteiro Player Overview

    Thiago Monteiro arrives at this tournament on a run of four consecutive defeats, including first-round exits at each of his last three events. Over his past ten matches he has won five and lost five, though the poor finish to that stretch raises questions about his current form. On serve, he holds a strong 78% of service games - a reliable aspect of his game even during this broader dip. That said, his set- and game-winning percentages in recent matches are lower than his opponent's, and his recent results point to difficulties converting opportunities at key moments.

    Match Results: Thiago Monteiro

    13.10.26
    ATP Challenger Maia, Portugal
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    1
    6
    4
    L
    05.10.26
    Portugal, Braga
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Elmer Moeller
    Elmer Moeller
    1
    2
    60
    77
    7
    5
    4
    6
    L
    22.09.26
    ATP Challenger Genoa 2, Italy Men Singles
    Mika Petkovic
    Mika Petkovic
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    4
    6
    1
    L
    20.09.26
    Poland Szczecin, ATP Challenger Men
    Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo
    Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    3
    78
    66
    L
    19.09.26
    Poland Szczecin, ATP Challenger Men
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    2
    1
    6
    4
    3
    6
    6
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Alejandro Moro Canas Player Overview

    Alejandro Moro Cañas has been the more consistent performer, winning 7 of his last 10 matches. He has come through several rounds at recent tournaments, with only two retirements against him in that period. His set-winning rate stands at 62%, and he has also won more games than his opponent overall. His hold percentage is modest at 46%, though he offsets that with a break-point conversion rate of 48%. Generally, he tends to make opponents work harder and wins more extended rallies.

    Match Results: Alejandro Moro Canas

    13.10.26
    ATP Challenger Maia, Portugal
    Tristan Boyer
    Tristan Boyer
    Alejandro Moro Canas
    Alejandro Moro Canas
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    L
    10.10.26
    ATP Challenger Palermo, Italy Men Singles
    Jonas Forejtek
    Jonas Forejtek
    Alejandro Moro Canas
    Alejandro Moro Canas
    2
    1
    61
    77
    6
    4
    77
    64
    L
    09.10.26
    ATP Challenger Palermo, Italy Men Singles
    Massimo Giunta
    Massimo Giunta
    Alejandro Moro Canas
    Alejandro Moro Canas
    1
    2
    4
    6
    77
    62
    610
    712
    W
    07.10.26
    ATP Challenger Palermo, Italy Men Singles
    Andrej Martin
    Andrej Martin
    Alejandro Moro Canas
    Alejandro Moro Canas
    0
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    W
    06.10.26
    ATP Challenger Palermo, Italy Men Singles
    Kalin Ivanovski
    Kalin Ivanovski
    Alejandro Moro Canas
    Alejandro Moro Canas
    0
    2
    2
    6
    3
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Key factors

    • Alejandro Moro Cañas has won 7 of his last 10 matches.
    • Thiago Monteiro has lost four matches in a row.
    • Alejandro Moro Cañas has a higher percentage of sets and games won over the last 10 matches.
    • Thiago Monteiro leads their head-to-head, but current form favours Alejandro Moro Cañas.

    Expected scenario

    This match looks fairly even on paper - the players are closely ranked - but the edge in current form clearly lies with Alejandro Moro Cañas. A third set is possible, though the Spaniard's better recent form makes him the likelier winner overall. That points to a prediction on Alejandro Moro Cañas to win.

    Match Result Prediction

    Tiago Monteiro's losing streak points to clear difficulties finding form ahead of this tournament and supports the case for betting against him.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Thiago Monteiro's losing run has coincided with a noticeable improvement from Alejandro Moro Cañas: the Spaniard has been winning sets and individual games more frequently in recent weeks. Monteiro's difficulties have been particularly evident in converting chances in the second half of the season, while his opponent has looked more assured during matches at this level. The most likely scenario is that the Spaniard continues in the same vein. The pick is Alejandro Moro Cañas to Win the match.
    Alejandro Moro Canas to Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet-105
    Published: 19/10/2026, 09:25
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
    55
    0
    37
    92 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Thiago Monteiro - Alejandro Moro Canas

    Thiago Monteiro has won the 1st set:
    monteiro-thiago-mourain 5 of last 6 matches.
    1st Set Thiago Monteiro to Win
    Bovada
    -115
    Thiago Monteiro has lost the 3rd set:
    monteiro-thiago-mourain last 4 matches.
    3rd Set Alejandro Moro Canas to Win
    -
    Thiago Monteiro has lost:
    monteiro-thiago-mourain last 4 matches.
    Alejandro Moro Canas to Win
    Bovada
    +100
    Over 2.5 sets:
    monteiro-thiago-mourain last 5 Thiago Monteiro games.
    Sets Total Over (2,5)
    +121
    View more facts