Surface:
Red clay
Round:
Semifinal
Thiago Monteiro
BRA
ATP - 282
2
:
1
Ended
Marco Trungelliti
ARG
ATP - 99

Monteiro vs Trungelliti Prediction 19 September 2026

Details
Key points
    BRA
    Thiago Monteiro
    ARG
    Marco Trungelliti
    6
    3
    6
    2
    4
    6
    3
    1

    🔊 In the semi-final of the Szczecin Challenger, Tiago Monteiro faces Marco Trungelliti. Both players are showing solid form on clay, which makes this a potentially tight encounter. The finalist will be decided by the current level of each player's game.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In head-to-head meetings between Tiago Monteiro and Marco Trungelliti, the record is level at two wins apiece.

    Head-to-head statistics Monteiro - Trungelliti

    60%
    3 Wins
    40%
    2 Wins
    19.09.26
    Poland Szczecin, ATP Challenger Men
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    2
    1
    6
    4
    3
    6
    6
    3
    12.07.23
    ATP Challenger Salzburg, Austria Men Singles
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    4
    6
    3
    16.04.22
    ATP Challenger Madrid, Spain Men Singles
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    2
    0
    7
    6
    7
    6
    16.09.21
    Poland Szczecin, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    21.09.18
    Italy Biella, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
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    Thiago Monteiro Player Overview

    Tiago Monteiro arrives at the semi-final having won seven of his last 10 matches. In Szczecin he has already beaten Stefano Travaglia, Vitaliy Sachko and Diego Dedura-Palomero. Statistically, he holds serve at 75% and has won 63% of sets in recent matches. His first-set win rate, however, stands at just 50%, which may point to a slow start in matches. Double faults are running at 4% per match, which is not a significant issue for his style of play.

    Match Results: Thiago Monteiro

    22.09.26
    ATP Challenger Genoa 2, Italy Men Singles
    Mika Petkovic
    Mika Petkovic
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    4
    6
    1
    L
    20.09.26
    Poland Szczecin, ATP Challenger Men
    Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo
    Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    3
    78
    66
    L
    19.09.26
    Poland Szczecin, ATP Challenger Men
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    2
    1
    6
    4
    3
    6
    6
    3
    W
    18.09.26
    Poland Szczecin, ATP Challenger Men
    Diego Dedura-Palomero
    Diego Dedura-Palomero
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    0
    2
    4
    6
    2
    6
    W
    16.09.26
    Poland Szczecin, ATP Challenger Men
    Vitaliy Sachko
    Vitaliy Sachko
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    1
    2
    77
    63
    4
    6
    63
    77
    W
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    Marco Trungelliti Player Overview

    Marco Trungelliti is ranked higher and has won six of his last ten matches. On his way to the semi-final he beat Shaun Kühnen and Filip Pecinák following a defeat to Thiago Pereira in Seville. A notable factor is his consistency in second sets: his second-set win rate has been very high over recent weeks. On serve, the Argentine is performing at a similar level to his opponent (76%), though his ace count is higher - nearly six per match. His overall set-win percentage stands at 53%, with the second set often proving the decisive one for him.

    Match Results: Marco Trungelliti

    29.09.26
    China, Beijing
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    Alex Molcan
    Alex Molcan
    0
    2
    4
    6
    5
    7
    L
    28.09.26
    China, Beijing
    Martin Landaluce
    Martin Landaluce
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    1
    2
    1
    6
    711
    69
    62
    77
    W
    19.09.26
    Poland Szczecin, ATP Challenger Men
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    2
    1
    6
    4
    3
    6
    6
    3
    L
    18.09.26
    Poland Szczecin, ATP Challenger Men
    Marco Cecchinato
    Marco Cecchinato
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    0
    2
    66
    78
    5
    7
    W
    17.09.26
    Poland Szczecin, ATP Challenger Men
    Filip Pieczonka
    Filip Pieczonka
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    1
    2
    77
    63
    5
    7
    4
    6
    W
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    Key factors

    • Marco Trungelliti has won the second set in 8 of his last 9 matches.
    • The head-to-head record between the two players is level.
    • Marco Trungelliti is ranked higher.
    • Both players have similar records in games and sets won, pointing to a closely contested match.
    • Marco Trungelliti's current form gives reason to expect him to win this match.

    Expected scenario

    The match looks fairly even, with both players showing similar stats in terms of games won and overall form. The chances of a third set are moderate, and the outcome may depend largely on Marco Trungelliti's consistency in second sets and his ranking advantage. This scenario supports a bet on the Argentine to win.

    Match Result Prediction

    Marco Trungelliti's advantage in second sets suggests he is capable of turning around difficult matches against comparable opponents, which strengthens his chances of winning overall.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Both players are in decent form, with recent wins and solid serving from each. However, Marco Trungelliti's consistent record in second sets marks him out as the favourite here - that factor carries weight when head-to-head meetings are level and the playing metrics are similar. The pick is Marco Trungelliti to Win.
    Marco Trungelliti to Win
    Odds-120
    Published: 18/09/2026, 16:57
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
    244
    0
    232
    476 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Thiago Monteiro - Marco Trungelliti

    Marco Trungelliti has won the 2nd set:
    trungelliti-marcoin 8 of last 9 matches.
    2nd Set Marco Trungelliti to Win
    -149
    Thiago Monteiro has won over 11.5 games:
    monteiro-thiago-mourain 14 of last 16 matches.
    Thiago Monteiro Total Over (11,5)
    -179
    Marco Trungelliti has won over 12.5 games:
    trungelliti-marcoin 8 of last 9 matches.
    Marco Trungelliti Total Over (12,5)
    -112
    Marco Trungelliti won with a +1.5 sets handicap:
    trungelliti-marcoin 8 of last 9 matches.
    Marco Trungelliti Sets Handicap (+1,5)
    -385