Kostyuk vs Andreeva Prediction 19 August 2026
🔊 The match between Marta Kostyuk and Mirra Andreeva in the fourth round of the Cincinnati tournament promises to be one of the standout events of the week in Ohio. Two young and incredibly ambitious players will find out whose character is stronger on the fast American hard court. Let's take a closer look at this matchup and make a prediction for the match.
Head-to-Head
📊 In head-to-head meetings, Marta Kostyuk holds the edge - two wins against one for Mirra Andreeva. However, their most recent encounter ended in a convincing victory for Andreeva, 2-0. The head-to-head record cannot be considered a defining factor for their current form.
Head-to-head statistics Kostyuk - Andreeva
Marta Kostyuk Player Overview
The Ukrainian is currently going through the best stretch of her career. She has moved right up to the edge of the top ten in the rankings. She won the clay-court Masters 1000 event in Madrid, beating Andreeva in the process. Marta was able to build on that success with strong performances at the Slams - she reached the semifinals at Roland Garros and Wimbledon.
Kostyuk comes into the match in excellent form - 8 wins in her last 10 matches. In the previous rounds of the tournament she comfortably beat Sofia Kenin and Sloane Stephens. Kostyuk's average number of games per match is 22.7, while five straight-set wins from ten confirm her ability to win matches without unnecessary extended rallies. On her serve she holds a high percentage of games (66%), and her set-winning percentage is an impressive 71%. Her double fault rate stands at 6%, which is within the average range for WTA tournaments.
Match Results: Marta Kostyuk
Mirra Andreeva Player Overview
Mirra has already convinced everyone that she cannot be treated as just a "young talent" - she is now a fully-fledged world No. 6 and the reigning Roland Garros champion. Her recent loss in Toronto to Leila Fernandez showed that Mirra does have dips when her game is not there, but in Cincinnati we are seeing a completely different Andreeva.
Mirra is showing good form - seven wins in her last ten matches and a high percentage of games won (61%). In Cincinnati she has beaten Aleksandra Oleynikova and Yanais Tien, both in straight sets. The average number of games played per match is just 18.5. This points to a tendency toward quick matches. On serve, Mirra wins around 62% of games, and her first-serve percentage reaches 67%. Seven bagel wins out of ten matches speak to high consistency and control over the course of her own matches.
Match Results: Mirra Andreeva
Key factors
- In 11 of Mirra Andreeva's last 12 matches, the total games was under 22.5.
- Both players frequently win their matches in two sets.
- The average number of games in Mirra Andreeva's matches is 18.5, and in Marta Kostyuk's matches - 22.7.
- In their head-to-head meetings, the most recent match ended 2:0 in favor of Mirra Andreeva.
Expected scenario
The match scenario suggests a high probability of the match ending in two sets, thanks to the consistency of both players and their ability to close things out confidently without unnecessary delays. The probability of a third set is assessed as low - this is consistent with the under trend, as both players most often limit themselves to two sets even against opponents of comparable level.
Total Prediction
Mirra Andreeva's consistent tendency toward short two-set matches strengthens the case for the under: even against competitive opponents, she manages to finish matches quickly, rarely going beyond this line.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Both players are winning their recent matches and often wrapping up in two sets thanks to solid serving and a high percentage of sets won. The average games-per-match statistics support a short match without a third set or a prolonged tie-break. Given these trends, the bet is clear: the pick is total games in match under 24.5.
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Betting Tips: Marta Kostyuk - Mirra Andreeva
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