Baez vs Carreno-Busta Prediction 19 August 2025

    ARG
    Sebastian Baez
    ESP
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    7
    6
    2
    5
    2
    0

    🔊 At the Winston-Salem tournament, the second-round match features Argentina's Sebastian Baez taking on Spain's Pablo Carreno Busta. Both players are eager for victory to bolster their standings in the world rankings. The significance of this match is highlighted by their previous encounter, where the Spaniard emerged victorious. The duel will be played on outdoor hard courts, which could be a decisive factor influencing the playing styles of both tennis players.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Sebastián Báez and Pablo Carreño Busta have faced each other twice, with the Spaniard coming out on top both times.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    25%
    1 Win
    75%
    3 Wins
    14.05.26
    ATP Challenger Valencia, Spain Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    1
    2
    7
    5
    5
    7
    5
    7
    19.08.25
    WIN
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    2
    25.10.22
    BAS
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    0
    2
    2
    6
    1
    6
    11.04.22
    MON
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    2
    1
    6
    4
    4
    6
    6
    2
    Empty
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    Sebastian Baez Player Overview

    🎾 Ranked 40th in the world, Sebastián Báez has shown fluctuating form recently, securing two wins in his last five matches. He feels comfortable on hard courts, although the stats reveal some weaknesses, such as a high frequency of double faults (4% of all serves) and a less-than-impressive break point conversion rate (39%). Nevertheless, his strong suit is his precise first serve (71% accuracy), which often allows him to hold serve effectively. Interestingly, despite these challenges, Báez can overcome higher-ranked opponents through sheer determination.

    Match Results: Sebastian Baez

    07.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Alex Molcan
    Alex Molcan
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    06.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo
    Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo
    2
    0
    6
    2
    77
    62
    W
    05.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Maxim Mrva
    Maxim Mrva
    2
    0
    6
    4
    7
    5
    W
    03.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Tristan Boyer
    Tristan Boyer
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    02.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Sascha Wayenburg
    Sascha Wayenburg
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
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    Pablo Carreno-Busta Player Overview

    🎾 Pablo Carreno Busta currently ranks 113th in the ATP standings and has shown some inconsistency in his game. However, he has secured several notable victories in recent months. His playing style is characterized by reliability from the baseline and the ability to control the pace of the match with precise shots from both sides of the court. The Spaniard boasts a solid service game, winning 76% of his service games, thanks to a powerful first serve and his ability to avoid errors on second serves. His recent victory over Yoshihito Nishioka demonstrates his capability to play aggressively against strong opponents.

    Match Results: Pablo Carreno-Busta

    31.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Rafael Jodar
    Rafael Jodar
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    3
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    6
    1
    6
    2
    6
    2
    L
    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    1
    3
    67
    7
    5
    7
    6
    3
    4
    6
    W
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Thanasi Kokkinakis
    Thanasi Kokkinakis
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    1
    1
    5
    7
    6
    4
    0
    1
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Jiri Lehecka
    Jiri Lehecka
    3
    0
    6
    3
    77
    63
    6
    3
    W
    15.05.26
    ATP Challenger Valencia, Spain Men Singles
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
    Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
    -
    -
    L
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Analyzing the players' styles, we can anticipate an intense battle for every game, with Carreno Busta focusing on patient rallies while Baez applies aggressive pressure through powerful serves. It's likely the match will conclude in two sets, given the Spaniard's tendency for such outcomes-he has wrapped up most of his recent matches in just two sets. Based on this analysis, a bet on under 2.5 sets seems reasonable.

    Our choice
    Sets Total Under (2.5) at odds of -185*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (19 August 2025, 06:50)

    Betting Tips: Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta

    Pablo Carreno-Busta has won under 13.5 games
    carreno-busta-pabloin 10 of last 11 matches.
    Pablo Carreno-Busta Total Under (13.5)
    -256
    Under 2.5 sets
    carreno-busta-pabloin 7 of last 8 Pablo Carreno-Busta games.
    Sets Total Under (2.5)
    MyBookie
    -200
    Under 23.5 games
    carreno-busta-pabloin 6 of last 7 Pablo Carreno-Busta games.
    Total Under (23.5)
    -172
    Sebastian Baez won with a +4.5 games handicap
    baez-sebastianin 8 of last 9 matches.
    Sebastian Baez Handicap (+4.5)
    -189