Michelsen vs De Minaur Prediction 20 January 2025

Is there an undeniable favorite in the fourth-round match of the Australian Open between Alex Michelsen and Alex de Minaur? This is the key question we face in our prediction. Last year, the tennis players exchanged victories. It's worth noting that in both cases, the matches lacked serious intrigue (6-4;6-1 and 1-6;0-6;2-6).

Alex Michelsen

Michelsen has never performed this well at a major before. However, he is likely not fully satisfied with himself. Alex still doesn't have any major titles in his collection, which forces him to continuously work on himself. In the previous season, the American came close to triumph twice (top-2 in Newport and Winston-Salem), suffering painful defeats from Marcos Giron and Lorenzo Sonego in the decisive battles. In Melbourne, however, the athlete only lost one set in three games, sending Karen Khachanov and Stefanos Tsitsipas packing.

Alex de Minaur

De Minaur has also not yet achieved stunning results at home. But sooner or later, he will correct this. Before going on vacation, Alex had six consecutive losses, which prompted a thorough "debriefing". The Australian won five matches in a row, giving up a set only to Francisco Cerundolo. The athlete has adopted a more aggressive playing style (108 unforced errors in the championship), which does not always lead to positive outcomes.

Editorial Prediction

In this match, de Minaur, in our opinion, will confidently break Michelsen's resistance. The opponents approach the meeting in roughly the same functional state, and it's logical to assume that the factors of home advantage and a significant edge in experience will be decisive. A total bet for the US representative being less than 18 is the preferred option for this match.