Passaro vs Matej Dodig Prediction 17 October 2026
🔊 Francesco Passaro and Matej Dodig meet in the semi-finals of the Challenger in Maia. Both players arrive on the back of impressive winning streaks, which points to a tight contest. The surface is indoor clay, and recent match statistics suggest the two are closely matched.
Head-to-Head
📊 Francesco Passaro and Matej Dodig have met twice before, each winning once.
Head-to-head statistics Passaro - Matej Dodig
Francesco Passaro Player Overview
Francesco Passaro has hit a strong run of form: 8 wins in his last 10 matches, and he has progressed through this tournament with confidence. In the quarter-final he beat Marco Trungelliti, having previously come through against Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo and Tiago Torres. On serve, Passaro wins around 74% of service games, with 54% of service points won. His average sets-won percentage is 71%, which matches his current opponent's level. Worth noting: he has covered the +1.5 games handicap in nine consecutive matches.
Match Results: Francesco Passaro
Matej Dodig Player Overview
Matej Dodig is also in excellent form, with a run of eight consecutive wins backed up by his results at this tournament - he beat Tristan Boyer in the quarter-final, having previously come through matches against Lukas Neumayer and Pedro Martinez Portero. Statistically, Dodig wins a similar proportion of service games (73%), edges his upcoming opponent slightly in aces (4.8 per match), and has the same set-winning percentage - 71% - as Francesco Passaro. His average number of games won across recent matches is also almost identical to his opponent's.
Match Results: Matej Dodig
Key factors
- Francesco Passaro has covered the +1.5 games handicap in nine consecutive matches.
- Both players have won 8 of their last 10 matches, reflecting equal form.
- Their head-to-head record is level at one win apiece.
Expected scenario
The match looks set to be a tight contest, with long sets likely and a possible third set. Both players are closely matched in form and statistics, making it difficult to identify a clear favourite.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Both players are showing virtually identical form and productivity on serve and in their service games. Their head-to-head record gives neither semi-finalist a clear edge, and the average number of games played points to an extended match without obvious dominance from either side. The pick is Francesco Passaro - Games Handicap +3.5.
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Betting Tips: Francesco Passaro - Matej Dodig
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