Ymer vs Shapovalov Prediction 17 October 2025

Elias Ymer has recently shown an upswing in form, securing back-to-back victories following a streak of three consecutive losses. His game has noticeably improved on home courts, evidenced by a commanding win over Jacob Fearnley with a scoreline of 6-2, 6-2. Despite a modest first serve win percentage of 63%, Elias makes up for it with a high break point conversion rate of 61%. However, double faults remain a weak spot, with a staggering 26 recorded over his last ten matches. Interestingly, Ymer often wraps up his matches with a low number of games, with the total going under 21.5 games in six consecutive encounters.

Denis Shapovalov showcases consistent results with his aggressive playing style and exceptional serving technique, averaging nearly ten aces per match. Over his last five matches, he has secured two wins and suffered three losses; his recent victory over Leo Borg suggests the Canadian is in good form following a setback against Jiri Lehecka earlier in October. Shapovalov's main strength lies in his confidence on the first serve (60%) and his ability to maintain focus even during extended rallies. However, frequent double faults could pose a challenge against more seasoned opponents.