Draxl vs Andrade Prediction 18 August 2026
🔊 In a first-round match at the Kingston Challenger on hard court, Liam Draxl will face Andrés Andrade. The two players are familiar with each other from last season, and the difference in current form could prove decisive for the outcome of the match.
Head-to-Head
📊 The players have met before - their only previous encounter went to Liam Draxl, who won 2:0.
Head-to-head statistics Draxl - Andrade
Liam Draxl Player Overview
Liam Draxl comes into this match with six wins in his last ten games, which confirms stable form. In his recent run of tournaments, he reached the final of the Winnipeg Challenger and won the semifinal against Shintaro Mochizuki, then lost to Toby Samuel. After that came a poor start at the larger tournament in Montreal, though his results at the Challenger level have been solid.
The Canadian wins more than half of his games (54%) and sets (58%), holds his serve well (64% of service games won), with a fairly high first-serve percentage of 66%. Over the course of matches he shows the ability to maintain the initiative and convert his opportunities effectively.
Match Results: Liam Draxl
Andres Andrade Player Overview
Andres Andrade has had a poor run over his last ten matches - only three wins against seven losses. In his previous tournament, the Ecuadorian managed to get through two rounds thanks to favorable matches against Josef Schwarzler and Gauthier Onclin, but then lost to Jack Pinnington Jones in the quarterfinals.
He has a high rate of bagel losses - four out of ten matches ended without a set won. His hold percentage is above average (69%), but his overall games-won percentage is just 47%, and his double fault rate is noticeably higher than his opponent's (6% vs. 5%). The losing streak is also reflected in a low sets-won percentage - just 36%.
Match Results: Andres Andrade
Key factors
- Liam Draxl won the only head-to-head meeting 2:0.
- Draxl has 6 wins in his last 10 matches, Andrade only 3.
- Draxl's sets won percentage is higher (58% vs 36%).
- Andrade lost 4 of his last 10 matches without winning a set.
- Draxl consistently wins more games and sets over the distance.
Expected scenario
Based on the form and statistics of both players, Liam Draxl holds an advantage across all key metrics. The probability of the match ending in two sets is assessed as high - the scenario implies control by the favourite without a pronounced fight for a third set.
⭐ Editor's prediction
Liam Draxl's form is noticeably more consistent: he wins more sets and holds his service games confidently compared to his opponent. Their only head-to-head meeting also ended in his favor without dropping a set, while Andres Andrade frequently suffers bagel sets even against a relatively decent serve. Given this combination of factors, Draxl's handicap (-3.5) looks like a justified bet on the favorite in this match.
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Betting Tips: Liam Draxl - Andres Andrade
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