Surface:
Hard
Round:
Semifinal
Tomas Machac
CZE
ATP - 35
2
:
1
Ended
Tommy Paul
USA
ATP - 21

Machac vs Paul Prediction 16 January 2026

    CZE
    Tomas Machac
    USA
    Tommy Paul
    2
    6
    6
    2
    6
    3
    3
    1

    🔊 In the semifinals of the Adelaide tournament, Czech player Tomas Machac will face off against American Tommy Paul. This match holds significant importance for both competitors, as the winner will advance to the final of this prestigious event. For Paul, it's an opportunity to solidify his high world ranking, while Machac seeks revenge for a loss in their previous head-to-head encounter. The match will be played on outdoor hard courts, which could influence the game's dynamics, favoring players with powerful serves.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Throughout their careers, Tomáš Macháč and Tommy Paul have faced each other on the court three times, with the Czech tennis player leading 2-1 in wins.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    75%
    3 Wins
    25%
    1 Win
    16.01.26
    Adelaide (ATP)
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    2
    1
    2
    6
    6
    3
    6
    3
    12.05.25
    ROM
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    2
    1
    6
    3
    6
    7
    6
    4
    09.10.24
    SHA
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    1
    2
    6
    3
    4
    6
    3
    6
    28.09.24
    TOK
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    1
    2
    6
    2
    3
    6
    6
    7
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Tomas Machac Player Overview

    Tomáš Macháč is currently in impressive form, securing three consecutive victories. Over his last five matches, he has recorded three wins and two losses, boasting a recent streak of three straight wins (a 60% success rate). His strengths lie in a consistent serve and confident baseline play. In his match against Jaume Munar, Macháč showcased his ability to maintain high concentration levels, winning both sets 6-4. On hard courts, his stats reveal an average first serve success rate of 65%, allowing him to dictate the play. An interesting note: despite suffering three straight-set losses this season, he has also achieved the same number of straight-set victories.

    Match Results: Tomas Machac

    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    Alexander Zverev
    Alexander Zverev
    0
    3
    4
    6
    2
    6
    2
    6
    L
    24.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    Zizou Bergs
    Zizou Bergs
    3
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
    09.05.26
    ROM
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    -
    -
    0
    0
    L
    07.05.26
    ROM
    Stefanos Tsitsipas
    Stefanos Tsitsipas
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    0
    2
    4
    6
    64
    77
    W
    24.04.26
    Spain, Madrid
    Cameron Norrie
    Cameron Norrie
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    2
    1
    6
    2
    66
    78
    77
    65
    L
    Empty
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    Tommy Paul Player Overview

    Tommy Paul has made a confident start to his campaign in Adelaide, showcasing impressive physical fitness and tactical versatility. He has triumphed in three of his last five matches, delivering commanding performances against opponents like Reilly Opelka and Aleksandar Vukic. His success is built on an aggressive style of play, frequently approaching the net, and a powerful first serve with a 56% success rate. Notably, he has previous experience defeating Machac, having beaten him 2-1 in sets last year.

    Match Results: Tommy Paul

    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    3
    2
    4
    6
    64
    77
    6
    4
    77
    64
    7
    5
    L
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Lorenzo Sonego
    Lorenzo Sonego
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    0
    3
    3
    6
    2
    6
    4
    6
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Rinky Hijikata
    Rinky Hijikata
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    1
    3
    6
    4
    3
    6
    5
    7
    4
    6
    W
    23.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Ignacio Buse
    Ignacio Buse
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    2
    1
    78
    66
    4
    6
    6
    3
    L
    22.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    1
    2
    6
    2
    3
    6
    3
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The match is set to be a thrilling encounter given the equal chances both tennis players have to adapt successfully to the hard court conditions. Both players possess strong serves, but Paul appears more consistent, boasting more victories over top-tier opponents. The statistics also support a bet on the American's individual total over 12.5 games, considering his ability to maintain rhythm even in challenging match situations.

    Our choice
    Tommy Paul Total Over (12.5) at odds of -133*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (15 January 2026, 15:05)

    Betting Tips: Tomas Machac - Tommy Paul

    Tomas Machac has won the 2nd set
    machac-tomasin last 4 matches.
    2nd Set Tomas Machac Win
    +118
    Tommy Paul has won the 2nd set
    paul-tommyin 6 of last 7 matches.
    paul-tommyin last 4 matches (ATP Adelaide).
    2nd Set Tommy Paul Win
    -161
    Tomas Machac has won under 13.5 games
    machac-tomasin last 13 matches.
    Tomas Machac Total Under (13.5)
    -263
    Under 21.5 games
    machac-tomasin 10 of last 11 Tomas Machac games.
    Total Under (21.5)
    +129
    View more facts