Shick vs Arutiunian Prediction 15 September 2026

Braden Shick arrives at this match with five wins from his last nine, though consistency has been an issue - his results have alternated between good and poor performances. In his most recent match he lost to Mark Lajal in the quarter-finals of the Vancouver Challenger. Statistically, he has held serve in 73% of his service games and won 55% of sets, pointing to an ability to perform well over shorter spells. His average of 19.7 games per match is close to the total line. Break-point conversion stands at 49% and first-serve percentage at 59%. Runs of two consecutive wins and two consecutive losses underline his inconsistency, though most of his matches have finished in straight sets.

Erik Arutiunian has won six of his last ten matches, including two consecutive wins in qualifying at the current tournament. His most recent defeat came against Masamichi Imamura at the Astana Challenger, but since then he has taken two comfortable straight-sets victories. The Belarusian player has a slightly higher average aces per match (5.7) and a better service games won percentage at 77%. Despite four straight-sets losses in his last ten matches, he tends to close out matches quickly: his average is 20.3 games per match, and he wins the first set in six out of ten matches. His sets won percentage (57%) is comparable to his opponent's, and the Under on total games has come in regularly.