Honda vs Basilashvili Prediction 16 September 2026

    JPN
    Naoya Honda
    GEO
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    2
    78
    0
    1
    6
    66
    0
    1

    🔊 Naoya Honda and Nikoloz Basilashvili meet in the first round of the Guangzhou tournament on outdoor hard courts. The match draws attention due to the difference in experience and level between the two players. It looks set to be a test for the Japanese player against the favourite.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Naoya Honda and Nikoloz Basilashvili have no previous meetings on record.

    Head-to-head statistics Honda - Basilashvili

    100%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Wins
    16.09.26
    ATP Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu), China Men Singles
    Naoya Honda
    Naoya Honda
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    1
    1
    2
    6
    78
    66
    0
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Naoya Honda Player Overview

    Naoya Honda arrives at this match in inconsistent form, with just 4 wins from his last 10 matches. In recent outings he lost to Ryota Tanuma but came through qualifying with wins over Hao Duan and Jesse Flores. His overall hold percentage is modest, pointing to difficulties on serve. Four bagel sets in his last 10 matches suggest vulnerability against stronger opponents, and his overall set-winning percentage is also low at 45%. On hard courts, Honda faces a significant class gap against his upcoming opponent.

    Match Results: Naoya Honda

    28.09.26
    ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
    Marat Sharipov
    Marat Sharipov
    Naoya Honda
    Naoya Honda
    2
    0
    713
    611
    6
    2
    L
    17.09.26
    ATP Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu), China Men Singles
    Petr Bar Biryukov
    Petr Bar Biryukov
    Naoya Honda
    Naoya Honda
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    L
    16.09.26
    ATP Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu), China Men Singles
    Naoya Honda
    Naoya Honda
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    1
    1
    2
    6
    78
    66
    0
    0
    W
    14.09.26
    ATP Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu), China Men Singles
    Naoya Honda
    Naoya Honda
    Jesse Flores
    Jesse Flores
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    13.09.26
    Challenger Guangzhou
    Naoya Honda
    Naoya Honda
    Hao Duan
    Hao Duan
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Nikoloz Basilashvili Player Overview

    Nikoloz Basilashvili is ranked 131st and has experience at major tournaments. Despite poor recent results - just 2 wins from his last 10 matches - his serving figures are considerably stronger: he holds 78% of his service games and averages close to seven aces per match. His losses to Mili Poljicak, Jaime Faria and Seong Chan Hong came against opponents of a noticeably higher level than those Naoya Honda typically faces. The statistics favour Basilashvili in the key serving and experience metrics.

    Match Results: Nikoloz Basilashvili

    28.09.26
    CHE
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
    1
    2
    6
    4
    4
    6
    3
    6
    L
    27.09.26
    CHE
    Jenson Brooksby
    Jenson Brooksby
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    0
    2
    4
    6
    64
    77
    W
    25.09.26
    CHE
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Botic Van De Zandschulp
    Botic Van De Zandschulp
    2
    0
    6
    4
    7
    5
    W
    24.09.26
    CHE
    Miomir Kecmanovic
    Miomir Kecmanovic
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    0
    2
    63
    77
    4
    6
    W
    23.09.26
    CHE
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Federico Cina
    Federico Cina
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Key factors

    • Naoya Honda has won only 4 of his last 10 matches and has frequently lost without taking a set.
    • Nikoloz Basilashvili holds serve in 78% of his service games.
    • In recent matches, Naoya Honda has often lost to stronger opponents without much resistance.
    • The gap in class and experience between the two players is visible in the statistics and results.

    Expected scenario

    The match looks straightforward: Nikoloz Basilashvili should control proceedings through reliable serving and a clear overall level advantage. Given that Naoya Honda frequently loses in straight sets even to lower-ranked opponents, a third set seems unlikely.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    The opening round is a stern test for Naoya Honda, given his poor results on serve and a tendency to lose without taking a set. Nikoloz Basilashvili has the edge across all the key indicators - both in service games won and in the quality of opposition faced. With the Japanese player's pattern of straight-sets defeats in mind, the main prediction is built around a comfortable win for the favourite. The pick is Correct Score - 0-2 in favour of Nikoloz Basilashvili.
    Correct Score (0:2)
    Odds-189
    Published: 14/09/2026, 16:48
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis expert
    375
    0
    267
    642 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Naoya Honda - Nikoloz Basilashvili

    Naoya Honda has won the 1st set:
    honda-naoyain 5 of last 6 matches.
    1st Set Naoya Honda to Win
    Bovada
    +160
    Nikoloz Basilashvili has lost the 2nd set:
    basilashvili-nikolozin last 4 matches.
    2nd Set Naoya Honda to Win
    +155
    Under 24.5 games:
    honda-naoyain 9 of last 10 Naoya Honda games.
    Total Under (24,5)
    -185
    Naoya Honda has won under 12.5 games:
    honda-naoyain 6 of last 7 matches.
    Naoya Honda Total Under (12,5)
    -213
    View more facts