Surface:
Hard
Round:
Quarterfinal
Khumoyun Sultanov
UZB
ATP - 496
2
:
0
Ended
Mert Alkaya
TUR
ATP - 299

Sultanov vs Alkaya Prediction 14 August 2026

Details
The main thing
    UZB
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    TUR
    Mert Alkaya
    77
    6
    2
    65
    3
    0

    🔊 In the quarterfinals of the challenger in Astana, Humayun Sultanov and Mert Alkaya will meet. The match will be played on outdoor hard courts, where both players had successful previous rounds. In this match, the interest lies in Sultanov's consistency of form compared to his opponent's less even results.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Sultanov and Alкaya have never played each other before, so a direct head-to-head comparison is not possible.

    Head-to-head statistics Sultanov - Alkaya

    100%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Wins
    14.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Mert Alkaya
    Mert Alkaya
    2
    0
    7
    6
    6
    3
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    Khumoyun Sultanov Player Overview

    Humayun Sultanov comes into this match on the back of two consecutive wins at the current tournament, having comfortably beaten Alexander Binda and Lucio Ratti. In his last ten matches he has six wins and four losses - which reflects fairly consistent form for the challenger level. Notably, he has not been bagelled in any of those matches: even in defeats, Sultanov has taken at least one set. His set-winning percentage is noticeably higher than his opponent's - 68% against 55%. His hold rate is modest (30%), though his overall games-won percentage remains decent (59%).

    Match Results: Khumoyun Sultanov

    31.08.26
    Challenger Zhangjiagang
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Joshua Charlton
    Joshua Charlton
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    30.08.26
    Challenger Zhangjiagang
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Fumin Jiang
    Fumin Jiang
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
    15.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Hayato Matsuoka
    Hayato Matsuoka
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    3
    6
    4
    L
    14.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Mert Alkaya
    Mert Alkaya
    2
    0
    77
    65
    6
    3
    W
    12.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Lucio Ratti
    Lucio Ratti
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    0
    2
    4
    6
    5
    7
    W
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    Mert Alkaya Player Overview

    Mert Alkaya is going through a less consistent stretch: five losses against five wins in his last ten matches, and three of those losses came without a set won. In his last two matches at the tournament he beat Zhukayev and Rawat, but lost to Mieshi at his previous event. His overall stats show he wins just over half of all points (51%), and his games-won percentage is lower than his opponent's - just 52%. On serve, Alkaya holds the vast majority of his service games (68%), which stands out relative to the average baseline for players at this level. However, his inconsistency across sets shows up in a low sets-won rate and a recent run of straight-set losses.

    Match Results: Mert Alkaya

    14.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Mert Alkaya
    Mert Alkaya
    2
    0
    77
    65
    6
    3
    L
    12.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Beibit Zhukayev
    Beibit Zhukayev
    Mert Alkaya
    Mert Alkaya
    0
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    W
    11.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Rawat Sidharth
    Rawat Sidharth
    Mert Alkaya
    Mert Alkaya
    0
    2
    2
    6
    4
    6
    W
    06.08.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul II, Turkey
    Kenta Miyoshi
    Kenta Miyoshi
    Mert Alkaya
    Mert Alkaya
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    L
    04.08.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul II, Turkey
    Saba Purtseladze
    Saba Purtseladze
    Mert Alkaya
    Mert Alkaya
    0
    2
    62
    77
    4
    6
    W
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    Key factors

    • Humayun Sultanov has won 6 of his last 10 matches.
    • Sultanov has not lost a single set in any of his last 10 matches.
    • Sultanov's set win percentage is higher than Alkaya's.
    • The trend of Sultanov winning with a handicap is confirmed by a streak of 6 consecutive matches.
    • Alkaya has lost 5 of his last 10 matches and shows less consistent form.

    Expected scenario

    The match may go without one player clearly dominating in terms of pace, but Sultanov's overall consistency looks like an advantage specifically for the chosen bet. Both players are capable of holding serve, but the Uzbek tennis player's run of strong performances makes him a slightly more reliable option in the fight for a semifinal spot.

    Total Prediction

    Alcay's tendency toward low totals supports a match scenario without a prolonged  ight for every game and backs the probability that the final score will stay within the designated line.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Humayun Sultanov's consistent form combines with a high percentage of sets won and no bagel losses even against tough opponents. The advantage across key metrics is reinforced by a favorable run on the handicap and a second-set trend. With an average likelihood of a third set, the bet remains justified by the Uzbek tennis player's more reliable performance throughout the tournament. The pick is a Humayun Sultanov win.
    Khumoyun Sultanov Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet-130
    Published: 13/08/2026, 22:43
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis and football specialist
    306
    0
    222
    528 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Khumoyun Sultanov - Mert Alkaya

    Khumoyun Sultanov has won the 2nd set:
    sultonov-khumoyunin 5 of last 6 matches.
    2nd Set Khumoyun Sultanov Win
    -130
    Under 2.5 sets:
    alkaya-mertin 7 of last 8 Mert Alkaya games.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    -182
    Under 23.5 games:
    alkaya-mertin 7 of last 8 Mert Alkaya games.
    Total Under (23,5)
    -164
    Khumoyun Sultanov won with a +1.5 sets handicap:
    sultonov-khumoyunin 24 of last 25 matches.
    Khumoyun Sultanov Sets Handicap (+1,5)
    -286
    View more facts