Surface:
Hard
Round:
Semifinal
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP
ATP - 1
0
:
2
Ended
Daniil Medvedev
RUS
ATP - 11

Alcaraz vs Medvedev Prediction 14 March 2026

    ESP
    Carlos Alcaraz
    RUS
    Daniil Medvedev
    3
    63
    0
    6
    77
    2

    🔊 In the semifinals of a major tennis tournament in Indian Wells, Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev are set to clash. In the world rankings, these opponents hold the 1st and 11th spots, respectively, which is why bookmakers favor the Spanish player in this matchup. How will this match unfold? You'll find a prediction on its outcome below.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev have faced each other eight times, with the Spanish player leading 6-2 in their head-to-head. Their most recent encounter took place on the courts of Beijing in 2024, where Alcaraz triumphed in straight sets.

    Head-to-head statistics Alcaraz - Medvedev

    67%
    6 Wins
    33%
    3 Wins
    14.03.26
    USA Indian Wells
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    0
    2
    3
    6
    63
    77
    01.10.24
    China, Beijing
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    0
    2
    5
    7
    3
    6
    12.07.24
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    1
    3
    77
    61
    3
    6
    4
    6
    4
    6
    17.03.24
    USA Indian Wells
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    0
    2
    65
    77
    1
    6
    17.11.23
    Turin, Italy
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
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    Carlos Alcaraz Player Overview

    🎾 Alcaraz is showing remarkable strength this season, possibly hitting his peak form right now! Since the start of the calendar year, the Spaniard has played 17 matches and celebrated victory in each one. As for his performances at Indian Wells, Carlos boasts two titles (2023 and 2024), though last year he exited at the semifinal stage.

    🔔 Alcaraz has won all his matches in straight sets except for one in the third round. In the quarterfinals, the Spanish tennis player left no room for British competitor Cameron Norrie, defeating him 6-3, 6-4. Carlos's first serve was exceptional in that match, with a 75% success rate, despite delivering only two aces. The entire match took him about an hour and a half.

    Match Results: Carlos Alcaraz

    26.09.26
    Laver Cup Exhibition
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    2
    1
    6
    3
    4
    6
    13
    11
    W
    09.09.26
    USO
    Ben Shelton
    Ben Shelton
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    3
    2
    65
    77
    6
    1
    6
    3
    1
    6
    710
    67
    L
    06.09.26
    USO
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    0
    3
    4
    6
    3
    6
    4
    6
    W
    04.09.26
    USO
    Yibing Wu
    Yibing Wu
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    0
    3
    3
    6
    4
    6
    1
    6
    W
    03.09.26
    USO
    Jaime Faria
    Jaime Faria
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    1
    3
    6
    4
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    6
    W
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    Daniil Medvedev Player Overview

    🎾 Medvedev is in top form this season, marking his best start in recent years. Fresh off a title win in Dubai, the Russian boasts an impressive nine-match winning streak. In Indian Wells, Daniil has twice fallen to Alcaraz in finals during his championship seasons, so he's determined to seek revenge this time around.

    🔔 Overall, the tournament has been smooth sailing for Medvedev-he's won all his matches in straight sets without any issues. In the quarterfinals, he faced last year's tournament champion Jack Draper, who stood no chance against the Russian (6-1, 7-5). In that matchup, Medvedev fired 10 aces and landed 72% of his first serves.

    Match Results: Daniil Medvedev

    29.09.26
    ATP Hangzhou Singles
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    4
    W
    28.09.26
    ATP Hangzhou Singles
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    4
    W
    27.09.26
    ATP Hangzhou Singles
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Chak Lam Coleman Wong
    Chak Lam Coleman Wong
    2
    1
    6
    3
    62
    77
    6
    3
    W
    26.09.26
    ATP Hangzhou Singles
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Valentin Royer
    Valentin Royer
    2
    0
    78
    66
    6
    3
    W
    06.09.26
    USO
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    0
    3
    61
    77
    4
    6
    66
    78
    L
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    Editor's Prediction

    Even though bookmakers see Alcaraz as the favorite for this match, it's not going to be an easy ride for him, given that Medvedev is nearing his peak form from earlier in 2023. Daniil's serve is certainly more powerful than Carlos's, and both are equally strong on returns. We believe that betting on a +5 handicap for the Russian seems like a reasonable choice here.

    Daniil Medvedev Handicap (+5)
    Odds-182
    Published: 13/03/2026, 12:23

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    Betting Tips: Carlos Alcaraz - Daniil Medvedev

    Daniil Medvedev has won:
    medvedev-daniilin 8 of last 9 matches.
    Daniil Medvedev to Win
    MyBookie
    +475
    Carlos Alcaraz has won:
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiamedvedev-daniilin 6 of last 7 matches against Daniil Medvedev.
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 10 matches.
    Carlos Alcaraz to Win
    Everygame
    -556
    Carlos Alcaraz has won the 1st set:
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain 5 of last 6 matches.
    1st Set Carlos Alcaraz to Win
    Bovada
    -385
    Daniil Medvedev has won the 1st set:
    medvedev-daniilin 8 of last 9 matches.
    medvedev-daniilin last 4 matches (ATP Indian Wells).
    1st Set Daniil Medvedev to Win
    Bovada
    +265
    View more facts