Tomic vs Holmgren Prediction 13 November 2026

    🔊 Bernard Tomic and August Holmgren will meet in the quarter-finals of the Brisbane Challenger on hard court. Both players come into the match with similar form and results. The contest looks set to be competitive and could go the distance, given how closely their statistics match.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Bernard Tomic and August Holmgren have not played each other before.

    Bernard Tomic Player Overview

    Bernard Tomic reaches the quarter-finals after two consecutive wins at this tournament, having beaten Blake Ellis and Omar Jasika. He has five wins in his last 10 matches, indicating neutral form. Tomic wins 51% of games and 59% of sets, and is successful on serve 81% of the time - one of the key factors behind his results on hard courts. His break-point conversion rate is 38%, suggesting he can put up a fight on return. His matches last 18.2 games on average, slightly fewer than his opponent’s.

    Match Results: Bernard Tomic

    11.11.26
    ATP Challenger Brisbane 3, Australia Men Singles
    Bernard Tomic
    Bernard Tomic
    Omar Jasika
    Omar Jasika
    2
    0
    77
    63
    77
    64
    W
    09.11.26
    ATP Challenger Brisbane 3, Australia Men Singles
    Bernard Tomic
    Bernard Tomic
    Blake Ellis
    Blake Ellis
    2
    1
    6
    3
    4
    6
    7
    5
    W
    13.10.26
    Challenger Jinan
    Dane Sweeny
    Dane Sweeny
    Bernard Tomic
    Bernard Tomic
    0
    0
    2
    2
    L
    08.10.26
    SHA
    Bernard Tomic
    Bernard Tomic
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    0
    2
    3
    6
    1
    6
    L
    06.10.26
    SHA
    Bernard Tomic
    Bernard Tomic
    Timofey Skatov
    Timofey Skatov
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    August Holmgren Player Overview

    August Holmgren has also won two matches in a row at this tournament, against Philip Sekulic and Christopher O'Connell. He has five wins in his last 10 matches, but has also had spells of several consecutive defeats, pointing to inconsistency. Holmgren has won 53% of games and 52% of sets, while his hold percentage is the same as Tomic’s at 81%. The average number of games in his matches is noticeably higher, however, at 23.1. His break-point conversion rate is 40%, giving him a chance to win games on his opponent’s serve as well as his own.

    Match Results: August Holmgren

    11.11.26
    ATP Challenger Brisbane 3, Australia Men Singles
    August Holmgren
    August Holmgren
    Christopher O'Connell
    Christopher O'Connell
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    2
    W
    10.11.26
    ATP Challenger Brisbane 3, Australia Men Singles
    August Holmgren
    August Holmgren
    Philip Sekulic
    Philip Sekulic
    2
    1
    6
    4
    4
    6
    7
    5
    W
    04.11.26
    Challenger Taipei
    Yuta Shimizu
    Yuta Shimizu
    August Holmgren
    August Holmgren
    2
    0
    713
    611
    6
    4
    L
    02.11.26
    Challenger Taipei
    Daniel Michalski
    Daniel Michalski
    August Holmgren
    August Holmgren
    0
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    W
    27.10.26
    Challenger Seoul
    August Holmgren
    August Holmgren
    Jay Dylan Hara Friend
    Jay Dylan Hara Friend
    0
    2
    3
    6
    3
    6
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Key factors

    • Matches involving Bernard Tomic average 18.2 games, compared with 23.1 for August Holmgren.
    • Both players win a similar percentage of games: 51% for Bernard Tomic and 53% for August Holmgren.
    • Neither player’s percentage of sets won exceeds 60%, suggesting that a third set is possible.
    • On hard courts, both players have a high hold percentage (81%).

    Expected scenario

    This quarter-final is expected to be a competitive match, with neither player clearly dominating. Tomic and Holmgren have similar percentages of games and sets won, which increases the likelihood of long sets and the match potentially going to a third set. This scenario best supports a prediction of Over on Total Games.

    ⭐ Editor’s Pick

    Both players head into the quarter-final with similar form and results on serve. Holmgren’s matches have a higher average number of games, while Tomic consistently wins his service games. The lack of a clear favourite and the similarity of the two quarter-finalists’ statistics increase the likelihood of a third set. The pick is Total Games Over 22.5.
    Total Over (22,5)
    Thunderpick
    Place a bet-143
    Published: 12/11/2026, 15:01
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis expert
    31
    1
    25
    57 predictions
    Statistics for November 2026

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