Baez vs Hemery Prediction 12 November 2026

    🔊 Sebastian Baez and Calvin Hemery meet in the round of 16 at the Orleans Challenger on an indoor hard court. The match pits a top-100 player against a less experienced opponent. The question is how the difference in class will affect the result.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Sebastian Baez and Calvin Hemery have not played each other before.

    Sebastian Baez Player Overview

    Sebastian Baez comes into the match in inconsistent form, with three wins in his last ten matches and frequent defeats. In his most recent match, he beat Daniil Glinka at this tournament to reach the next round. Despite that inconsistency, Baez holds serve in 80% of his service games, a rate substantially higher than his opponent’s. The Argentine also has more experience competing at ATP level and regularly faces strong opponents, which is reflected in his ability to control matches. He has won 46% of games and 33% of sets, but his advantage on serve and in overall quality gives reason to expect a confident performance in this match.

    Match Results: Sebastian Baez

    10.11.26
    France Orleans
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Daniil Glinka
    Daniil Glinka
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    2
    6
    1
    W
    02.11.26
    Paris
    Daniel Merida
    Daniel Merida
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    L
    01.11.26
    Paris
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    0
    2
    2
    6
    4
    6
    L
    31.10.26
    Paris
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Damir Dzumhur
    Damir Dzumhur
    2
    0
    77
    64
    7
    5
    W
    24.10.26
    BAS
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
    Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
    1
    2
    3
    6
    6
    3
    3
    6
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Calvin Hemery Player Overview

    Calvin Hemery is showing decent form, with six wins in his last ten matches, including three consecutive victories at this tournament. However, he has won just 53% of his service games, well below Baez’s figure. The Frenchman’s wins have come more often in qualifying rounds and against lower-ranked opponents. In his last ten matches, Hemery has twice lost 0-2 in sets, while his overall percentage of sets won is 56%. Despite his positive record in recent matches, he has faced a lower standard of opposition than his upcoming opponent, and his consistency in holding serve raises questions ahead of the match against the Argentine favourite.

    Match Results: Calvin Hemery

    10.11.26
    France Orleans
    Shintaro Mochizuki
    Shintaro Mochizuki
    Calvin Hemery
    Calvin Hemery
    1
    2
    6
    4
    65
    77
    2
    6
    W
    09.11.26
    France Orleans
    Calvin Hemery
    Calvin Hemery
    Lucas Poullain
    Lucas Poullain
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    3
    78
    66
    W
    08.11.26
    France Orleans
    Calvin Hemery
    Calvin Hemery
    Yanis Ghazouani Durand
    Yanis Ghazouani Durand
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    W
    03.11.26
    ATP Challenger Taranto, Italy Men Singles
    Philip Henning
    Philip Henning
    Calvin Hemery
    Calvin Hemery
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    2
    L
    26.10.26
    France Brest, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Calvin Hemery
    Calvin Hemery
    Catry Robin
    Catry Robin
    1
    2
    77
    62
    3
    6
    4
    6
    L
    Empty
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    Key factors

    • Sebastian Baez is significantly higher in the rankings than Calvin Hemery.
    • Baez wins 80% of his service games, compared with 53% for his opponent.
    • Baez has more wins at ATP level and experience against strong opponents.
    • Hemery has lost 2:0 in sets twice in his last 10 matches.
    • Both players have rarely played a third set in their recent matches.

    Expected scenario

    The likely match scenario centres on Sebastian Baez’s clear advantage in quality, serve and experience. His high percentage of service games won suggests he can control the contest. A third set is unlikely: Baez is expected to win in two sets without the need for a decider.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Sebastian Baez outranks his opponent and has more experience and better serving statistics. Despite being short of his best form, his level gives him a good chance of a convincing performance against a less consistent opponent. With a deciding set unlikely, a straight-sets result looks the best option. The pick is Sebastian Baez to win 2-0 in sets.
    Correct Score (2:0)
    Odds-141
    Published: 11/11/2026, 08:52
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis expert
    13
    1
    15
    29 predictions
    Statistics for November 2026

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    Betting Tips: Sebastian Baez - Calvin Hemery

    Sebastian Baez has lost the 1st set:
    baez-sebastianin 7 of last 8 matches.
    1st Set Calvin Hemery to Win
    Thunderpick
    +172
    Calvin Hemery won with a +1.5 sets handicap:
    hemery-calvinin 17 of last 19 matches.
    Calvin Hemery Sets Handicap (+1,5)
    -111