Surface:
Hard
Round:
Semifinal
Luca Castelnuovo
CHE
ATP - 461
0
:
2
Ended
Ilya Ivashka
BLR
ATP - 393

Castelnuovo vs Ivashka Prediction 12 September 2026

    CHE
    Luca Castelnuovo
    BLR
    Ilya Ivashka
    3
    4
    0
    6
    6
    2

    🔊 In the semi-finals of the Challenger in Shanghai on hard court, Luca Castelnuovo takes on Ilya Ivashka. Both players came through the earlier rounds with consistent results this week. The match looks set to be a competitive one given the form both have shown.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Luca Castelnuovo and Ilya Ivashka have no previous meetings on record.

    Head-to-head statistics Castelnuovo - Ivashka

    0%
    0 Wins
    100%
    1 Win
    12.09.26
    Challenger Shanghai
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Ilya Ivashka
    Ilya Ivashka
    0
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Luca Castelnuovo Player Overview

    Luca Castelnuovo arrives at this semi-final having won seven of his last ten matches, which points to a solid level of readiness. In his three previous matches at this tournament he beat Chun Hsin Tseng, Wu Tung-Lin and Ji Sung Nam, adding to his confidence on court. Across his last ten matches, Castelnuovo has won 54% of all games and his first-serve percentage stands at 68%. His matches average 21.3 games, and his individual total has gone Over 9.5 nine times in a row - a consistency that directly informs the chosen bet.

    Match Results: Luca Castelnuovo

    22.09.26
    CHE
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Pavel Kotov
    Pavel Kotov
    1
    2
    77
    64
    5
    7
    5
    7
    L
    16.09.26
    ATP Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu), China Men Singles
    Elias Ymer
    Elias Ymer
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Luca Castelnuovo
    2
    0
    78
    66
    6
    4
    L
    15.09.26
    ATP Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu), China Men Singles
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Omar Jasika
    Omar Jasika
    1
    1
    66
    78
    6
    2
    1
    0
    W
    12.09.26
    Challenger Shanghai
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Ilya Ivashka
    Ilya Ivashka
    0
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    L
    11.09.26
    Challenger Shanghai
    Ji Sung Nam
    Ji Sung Nam
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Luca Castelnuovo
    0
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Ilya Ivashka Player Overview

    Ilya Ivashka has also been in good form, winning seven of his last ten matches. In the quarter-final he beat Yi Zha, having previously come through Bernard Tomic and Yu Hsiou Hsu without dropping a match on his way to the semi-final. Over his last ten matches, Ivashka has won 57% of all games, with an average match length of around 21 games. His hold percentage stands at 74%, making him an opponent capable of extending sets and making his rivals fight for every point.

    Match Results: Ilya Ivashka

    13.09.26
    Challenger Shanghai
    Ilya Ivashka
    Ilya Ivashka
    Marat Sharipov
    Marat Sharipov
    2
    1
    6
    4
    3
    6
    79
    67
    W
    12.09.26
    Challenger Shanghai
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Ilya Ivashka
    Ilya Ivashka
    0
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    W
    11.09.26
    Challenger Shanghai
    Ilya Ivashka
    Ilya Ivashka
    Yi Zhou
    Yi Zhou
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    3
    W
    10.09.26
    Challenger Shanghai
    Bernard Tomic
    Bernard Tomic
    Ilya Ivashka
    Ilya Ivashka
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    4
    2
    6
    W
    08.09.26
    Challenger Shanghai
    Ilya Ivashka
    Ilya Ivashka
    Yu Hsiou Hsu
    Yu Hsiou Hsu
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Key factors

    • Luca Castelnuovo has won more than 9.5 games in nine consecutive matches.
    • The average number of games in matches involving Luca Castelnuovo is 21.3.
    • Luca Castelnuovo's form: 7 wins in his last 10 matches.
    • Luca Castelnuovo has won 54% of games over his last 10 matches.
    • Ilya Ivashka is similarly consistent, which increases the likelihood of extended sets.

    Expected scenario

    In this semi-final, fairly competitive tennis is to be expected: both players are in good form and hold serve regularly. Luca Castelnuovo consistently clears his individual games total line even against strong opponents, and his solid record in games won suggests he can reach the required number of games again.

    Total Games Prediction

    Castelnuovo has gone over his individual total in nine consecutive matches regardless of the opposition - a run that points to this line being reliable in the semi-final against another strong opponent.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Luca Castelnuovo's consistent game counts are supported by both his current form and an extended run of successful bets on his individual total going over the stated line. A high percentage of service games held and regular over results this season reinforce this scenario even against a solid opponent like Ilya Ivashka. The pick is Luca Castelnuovo - Player Total Games Over 9.5.
    Luca Castelnuovo Total Over (9,5)
    Odds-137
    Published: 11/09/2026, 14:34
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
    233
    0
    228
    461 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Luca Castelnuovo - Ilya Ivashka

    Luca Castelnuovo has won the 1st set:
    castelnuovo-lucain 6 of last 7 matches.
    1st Set Luca Castelnuovo to Win
    Bovada
    +220
    Luca Castelnuovo has won the 2nd set:
    castelnuovo-lucain last 4 matches (Challenger Shanghai).
    2nd Set Luca Castelnuovo to Win
    +215
    Luca Castelnuovo has won over 9.5 games:
    castelnuovo-lucain last 9 matches.
    Luca Castelnuovo Total Over (9,5)
    -132
    Over 19.5 games:
    castelnuovo-lucain 8 of last 9 Luca Castelnuovo games.
    Total Over (19,5)
    -222
    View more facts