Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/8
Fajing Sun
CHN
ATP - 326
2
:
1
Ended
Semen Pankin
RUS
ATP - 421

Fajing vs Pankin Prediction 12 August 2026

Details
The main thing
    CHN
    Fajing Sun
    RUS
    Semen Pankin
    4
    77
    6
    2
    6
    64
    3
    1

    🔊 Sun Fajing and Semyon Pankin will play in the round of 16 of a challenger in Astana on outdoor hard. The match draws attention due to the difference in the players' current form and their game productivity. Ahead of the encounter, an important question is whether Sun Fajing can overcome his inconsistency.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The two have met once before - Sun Fajing won that match.

    Head-to-head statistics Fajing - Pankin

    100%
    2 Wins
    0%
    0 Wins
    12.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    Semen Pankin
    Semen Pankin
    2
    1
    4
    6
    7
    6
    6
    3
    03.08.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul II, Turkey
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    Semen Pankin
    Semen Pankin
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Fajing Sun Player Overview

    Sun Fajing has only 3 wins in his last 10 matches, with 7 of those losses coming in straight sets. In the previous round he beat Zangar Nurlanuly, but before that he lost to Ilya Simakin. Over recent matches, the player wins just 45% of games and fewer than a third of sets, which is reflected in his individual total results. Despite occasional successes, he regularly struggles both on his serve and when returning opponent's service games: his average percentage of points won is just 48%. This dynamic confirms the difficulties he faces in accumulating a high number of games.

    Match Results: Fajing Sun

    31.08.26
    Challenger Zhangjiagang
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    Tung-Lin Wu
    Tung-Lin Wu
    2
    1
    62
    77
    6
    4
    77
    62
    W
    14.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    Hayato Matsuoka
    Hayato Matsuoka
    0
    2
    5
    7
    5
    7
    L
    12.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    Semen Pankin
    Semen Pankin
    2
    1
    4
    6
    77
    64
    6
    3
    W
    11.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    Zangar Nurlanuly
    Zangar Nurlanuly
    2
    1
    6
    2
    3
    6
    6
    2
    W
    05.08.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul II, Turkey
    Ilia Simakin
    Ilia Simakin
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    2
    0
    6
    3
    77
    64
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Semen Pankin Player Overview

    Semen Pankin has found his form - he has five wins in his last ten matches. In the previous round he beat Dominik Palan convincingly. Despite a low serve-hold percentage (35%), Pankin compensates with a high break-point conversion rate (50%) and a better sets-won percentage (52%). He often stays competitive in games won thanks to consistent performance in the second set and fewer bagel losses compared to his opponent.

    Match Results: Semen Pankin

    31.08.26
    Challenger Zhangjiagang
    Yosuke Watanuki
    Yosuke Watanuki
    Semen Pankin
    Semen Pankin
    2
    0
    6
    3
    7
    5
    L
    22.08.26
    ITF Serbia M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12
    Semen Pankin
    Semen Pankin
    Dimitar Kisimov
    Dimitar Kisimov
    0
    2
    5
    7
    1
    6
    L
    21.08.26
    ITF Serbia M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12
    Semen Pankin
    Semen Pankin
    Haita, Stefan Horia
    Haita, Stefan Horia
    1
    0
    7
    6
    3
    0
    W
    20.08.26
    ITF Serbia M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12
    Semen Pankin
    Semen Pankin
    Drazen Petrovic
    Drazen Petrovic
    2
    1
    7
    6
    3
    6
    6
    2
    W
    18.08.26
    ITF Serbia M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12
    Semen Pankin
    Semen Pankin
    Bazdar, Dusan
    Bazdar, Dusan
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Key factors

    • Sun Fajing wins fewer than 12.5 games in 10 of his last 11 matches.
    • Sun Fajing has only 3 wins in his last 10 matches and 7 bagel losses.
    • Sun Fajing's games-won percentage is just 45% over his last 10 matches.
    • In the head-to-head Sun Fajing beat Semyon Pankin, but his overall form remains weak.

    Expected scenario

    The match scenario suggests some advantage on Sun Fajing's side, however his inconsistent form and regular straight-set losses increase the likelihood that he will again fail to clear the high threshold on his individual total games.

    Total Prediction

    Recent results confirm a tendency for Sun Fajing to rarely reach the maximum number of games won even against relatively equal opponents or when holding a ranking advantage. His poor form keeps the minimum individual total line relevant.

    ⭐ Editor's prediction

    Sun Fajing's recent results show problems with winning enough games: frequent bagel losses and a low percentage of sets won reduce the chances of exceeding the stated total line even against less consistent opponents. The pick is based on a persistent trend toward low scoring from the first player in the pair regardless of tournament status or surface. The bet is Sun Fajing total under 12.5 games.
    Fajing Sun Total Under (12,5)
    Published: 11/08/2026, 16:18
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis and football specialist
    313
    0
    227
    540 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Fajing Sun - Semen Pankin

    Fajing Sun has lost the 2nd set:
    sun-fajingin 8 of last 9 matches.
    2nd Set Semen Pankin Win
    +120
    Fajing Sun has won under 12.5 games:
    sun-fajingin 10 of last 11 matches.
    Fajing Sun Total Under (12,5)
    -128
    Under 2.5 sets:
    sun-fajingin 9 of last 10 Fajing Sun games.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    -204
    Under 22.5 games:
    sun-fajingin 9 of last 10 Fajing Sun games.
    Total Under (22,5)
    Bovada
    -145
    View more facts