Navone vs Collignon Prediction 13 August 2026
π Mariano Navone will make his third consecutive attempt to get past the first round of the Masters in Cincinnati. RaphaΓ«l Collignon, for whom the American thousand-point tournament will be his debut, will try to stop him. The bookmakers have more faith in the Belgian, even despite his prolonged losing streak. In our prediction, we will find out whether the European player can justify his status as the favorite.
Head-to-Head
π The opponents have met once - Mariano Navone won. That match, however, took place back in 2020 at a futures event, so it is unlikely to have much bearing on the upcoming game.
Head-to-head statistics Navone - Collignon
Mariano Navone Player Overview
Over his last ten matches, Mariano Navone has managed just four wins. Nevertheless, at the previous Masters 1000 event in Montreal he performed well above the expectations typically held for a clay-court specialist, reaching the Round of 16. In those matches, Navone demonstrated solid hold of serve, winning 76% of service points. His overall games-won percentage stands at 51%. In addition, Mariano has carried over quality returning from his preferred clay courts, converting 40% of break points, and his first-serve percentage of 76% speaks to his versatility.
Match Results: Mariano Navone
Raphael Collignon Player Overview
Rafael Collignon also has four wins over the last ten matches, but his form is far from optimal - three consecutive losses and defeats even against lower-ranked opponents in recent weeks. At the same time, Collignon maintains a high serve hold percentage (86), but his return level remains low, especially compared to his upcoming opponent's numbers: the Belgian converts only 27% of break points. This contrast between efficiency on serve and return leads to an extremely modest games-won percentage, which does not even reach 50%. An important detail - recurring problems at the start of matches: Rafael has dropped the opening set in four consecutive matches.
Match Results: Raphael Collignon
Key factors
- Navone has won two of his last three matches on hard court.
- RaphaΓ«l Collignon has lost three matches in a row and often drops the first set.
- Navone wins 52% of games and 43% of sets over a ten-match span.
- Navone's serve and return stats are more balanced compared to Collignon's numbers.
Expected scenario
A match between two players who are not the most consistent on hard courts could come down to a fight for every set with no clear dominance from either side. Given the better recent form of the Argentine clay specialist in the last few weeks, the odds on him look slightly inflated. But even as the underdog he is quite capable, if not of advancing further, then at least of dragging the match out through serve stability and aggressive returning.
β Editor's prediction
Both players are far from their best consistency, but Mariano Navone has some advantages, particularly in terms of the balance between his serve and return games. The Belgian's numbers in those areas contrast too sharply. The situation is further complicated by his current three-match losing streak, which could affect RaphaΓ«l Collignon's confidence. The South American, meanwhile, recently made his mark at the Masters in Montreal by beating top-20 player Valentin Vacherot - who, it should be noted, is considered a specialist on hard courts. With these factors in mind, we suggest backing the underdog and taking Navone +2.5 games.
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Betting Tips: Mariano Navone - Raphael Collignon
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