Sonego vs Tabilo Prediction 11 November 2026
🔊 Lorenzo Sonego defied the odds to beat Quentin Halys in the first round of the ATP 250 in Stockholm and will now face Alejandro Tabilo as he looks to match last year’s quarter-final appearance. Notably, unlike in his previous match, the Italian is the bookmakers’ favourite this time. That should come as no surprise: although the Chilean is higher ranked, he is on a losing streak and will be making his debut at this tournament. It will be all the more interesting to see whether the South American can defy his underdog status.
Head-to-Head
📊 Their head-to-head record is level, with one win each. Both matches were played on outdoor hard courts, but the two female players will meet on indoor hard courts for the first time.
Lorenzo Sonego Player Overview
Lorenzo Sonego heads into the second round with clear momentum: six wins in his last ten matches and a perfect run of three matches in Stockholm, including qualifying and a convincing opening win over Quentin Halys in the main draw (6-4; 7-6). In recent matches, Sonego has consistently held serve, posting an 86% hold percentage, and has won a high proportion of points on his first serve - 72%. He has also won more than half of all games and sets played across those ten matches. Notably, Sonego has not dropped a set on his way to the second round in Stockholm, confirming his confidence and how well he has adapted to the legendary Royal Tennis Hall in Sweden.
Match Results: Lorenzo Sonego
Alejandro Tabilo Player Overview
Alejandro Tabilo is struggling badly for results, with just three wins in his last ten matches and four consecutive defeats. The Chilean’s last victory came more than a month ago on an outdoor hard court. At the two subsequent indoor tournaments in Basel and Paris, he lost to the same opponent, Rafael Jodar, without even competing for a set. His service-games-held percentage is lower than Sonego’s at 82%, while he has won only 39% of his sets overall. Tabilo has also been inconsistent with his first serve, landing it 66% of the time. Those are respectable numbers, but not for a top-30 player - a group Alejandro has so far been unable to rejoin, sitting 31st in the rankings.
Match Results: Alejandro Tabilo
Key factors
- Alejandro Tabilo has lost 7 of his last 8 matches.
- Lorenzo Sonego has won 6 of his last 10 matches, including three wins in Stockholm.
- Lorenzo Sonego has a higher percentage of games and sets won, as well as better service statistics.
Expected scenario
Lorenzo Sonego will go into this match with an advantage in current form and consistency. He is expected to control the match through confident serving and consistent conversion of his chances. A third set is less likely than average because of Alejandro Tabilo’s prolonged losing streak. Even so, the Chilean is unlikely to fall far behind on the scoreboard, as he remains strong on serve and regularly makes use of his left-handed advantage.
Match outcome prediction
Alejandro Tabilo has lost 7 of his last 8 matches. Tabilo's current losing streak points to clear problems with form and confidence, making a bet on Sonego to win the most logical choice in the current circumstances. Moreover, this will be the Chilean's first appearance at the tournament, while the Italian is defending a quarter-final appearance from last year.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Lorenzo Sonego has found good form and came through qualifying and the first round with confidence, while Alejandro Tabilo continues to lose to almost every opponent, including strong servers - a group that includes his upcoming opponent. Sonego also has the edge in consistency and in the percentage of service games won. The likely scenario is an advantage for the Italian without the match going to a deciding set, although the score could be fairly close: Tabilo himself is creative with his serve and also has the advantage of being left-handed. Nevertheless, we are more inclined to back Lorenzo Sonego to win.
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Betting Tips: Lorenzo Sonego - Alejandro Tabilo
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