Surface:
Red clay
Round:
Final
Elmer Moeller
DNK
ATP - 181
11
:
44
:
38
Matej Dodig
HRV
ATP - 174

Moeller vs Matej Dodig Prediction 11 October 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 The final of the Braga Challenger on clay brings together Elmer Moeller and Matej Dodig. Both players had tough routes to the deciding match. With two competitive opponents, the final promises to be a tense affair.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head record is level - one win each.

    Head-to-head statistics Moeller - Matej Dodig

    50%
    1 Win
    50%
    1 Win
    06.02.26
    Davis Cup
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    Elmer Moeller
    Elmer Moeller
    0
    2
    4
    6
    63
    77
    12.04.24
    ATP Challenger Split
    Elmer Moeller
    Elmer Moeller
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    0
    2
    2
    6
    0
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Elmer Moeller Player Overview

    Elmer Moeller arrives at the final on a run of three consecutive wins at this tournament. Over his last 10 matches he has won five, which is inconsistent form overall, though the current run is more encouraging. His matches average 26 games, pointing to frequent extended sets or three-set encounters. He wins 65% of his service games, and his points-won percentage is exactly half of all points played. Moeller regularly reaches double figures in games: he has done so in seven of his last eight matches, reflecting his ability to stay competitive even against higher-ranked opponents.

    Match Results: Elmer Moeller

    10.10.26
    Portugal, Braga
    Elmer Moeller
    Elmer Moeller
    Vilius Gaubas
    Vilius Gaubas
    2
    1
    6
    2
    4
    6
    6
    4
    W
    09.10.26
    Portugal, Braga
    Elmer Moeller
    Elmer Moeller
    Tiago Pereira
    Tiago Pereira
    2
    1
    5
    7
    6
    2
    6
    1
    W
    08.10.26
    Portugal, Braga
    Zsombor Piros
    Zsombor Piros
    Elmer Moeller
    Elmer Moeller
    1
    2
    6
    1
    1
    6
    5
    7
    W
    05.10.26
    Portugal, Braga
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Elmer Moeller
    Elmer Moeller
    1
    2
    67
    7
    7
    5
    4
    6
    W
    29.09.26
    ATP Challenger Bari, Italy Men Singles
    Carlos Taberner
    Carlos Taberner
    Elmer Moeller
    Elmer Moeller
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Matej Dodig Player Overview

    Matej Dodig is in confident form, with 7 wins from his last 10 matches, including three consecutive victories at this tournament. Statistically, he holds a clear edge over his opponent in games won (58%), and holds serve in 77% of his service games. His ace count is above average - around four per match - with few double faults. Dodig has also made strong starts, winning the first set in each of his last four matches at this tournament. That level of consistency makes him a dangerous opponent for anyone in the final.

    Match Results: Matej Dodig

    10.10.26
    Portugal, Braga
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    Lukas Neumayer
    Lukas Neumayer
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    1
    W
    09.10.26
    Portugal, Braga
    Marvin Moeller
    Marvin Moeller
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    0
    2
    2
    6
    3
    6
    W
    08.10.26
    Portugal, Braga
    Miguel Damas
    Miguel Damas
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    0
    2
    4
    6
    1
    6
    W
    07.10.26
    Portugal, Braga
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Andrea Pellegrino
    2
    1
    6
    3
    3
    6
    6
    1
    W
    19.09.26
    Davis Cup
    Alexander Zverev
    Alexander Zverev
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    2
    0
    6
    4
    77
    63
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Key factors

    • Elmer Moeller has won more than 11.5 games in 7 of his last 8 matches.
    • Elmer Moeller has won his last three matches, suggesting he is in good current form.
    • Matches involving Elmer Moeller average 26 games.
    • The head-to-head record is level, indicating Moeller is competitive against Dodig.

    Expected scenario

    The final should be a hard-fought match for every game - both players are capable of holding serve and making strong opponents work for every point. In those conditions, Elmer Moeller will have chances to take his own games and reach double figures in his individual total. The probability of an extended scenario or three sets being played remains moderate.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    A competitive final is expected between two well-matched opponents: Elmer Moeller regularly wins double-digit games even against strong opposition, and a run of results going over his individual total line adds further weight to that picture. Average match length is also above the tour average, which supports a high-scoring scenario from the Dane. The pick is Elmer Moeller - Player Total Games Over 10.5.
    Elmer Moeller Total Over (10,5)
    Odds-149
    Published: 10/10/2026, 20:20
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis expert
    155
    0
    128
    283 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Elmer Moeller - Matej Dodig

    Matej Dodig has won the 1st set:
    matej-dodigin last 4 matches (Challenger Braga).
    1st Set Matej Dodig to Win
    Bovada
    -208
    Elmer Moeller has won the 3rd set:
    moeller-elmer-5in last 4 matches (Challenger Braga).
    3rd Set Elmer Moeller to Win
    -
    Matej Dodig has won:
    matej-dodigin 12 of last 14 matches.
    Matej Dodig to Win
    Bovada
    -250
    Elmer Moeller has won over 11.5 games:
    moeller-elmer-5in 7 of last 8 matches.
    Elmer Moeller Total Over (11,5)
    -114
    View more facts