Surface:
Red clay
Round:
Final
Simona Waltert
CHE
WTA - 90
0
:
2
Ended
Paula Badosa
ESP
WTA - 141

Waltert vs Badosa Prediction 11 July 2026

Details
Key points
    CHE
    Simona Waltert
    ESP
    Paula Badosa
    5
    5
    0
    7
    7
    2

    🔊 Simona Waltert and Paula Badosa are set to clash in the final of the Bastad Challenger on clay. Both players have cruised through the tournament with convincing wins, setting up a decisive showdown. The final promises to be an intriguing contest, especially when you look at their recent form and head-to-head statistics.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Simona Waltert and Paula Badosa have never faced each other before.

    Head-to-head statistics Waltert - Badosa

    0%
    0 Wins
    100%
    1 Win
    11.07.26
    WTA 125K Bastad, Sweden Women Singles
    Simona Waltert
    Simona Waltert
    Paula Badosa
    Paula Badosa
    0
    2
    5
    7
    5
    7
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Simona Waltert Player Overview

    Simona Waltert has found her rhythm, racking up five wins in her last ten matches - including three at this tournament, where she has powered through to the final without dropping a set. On serve, Waltert holds just over half her service games (56%), with a solid first-serve percentage of 63%. Her strengths include consistent point-scoring on return and an impressive 49% conversion rate on break points. However, her last ten outings have also seen some straight-set defeats, suggesting she can experience dips in form over the course of a match.

    Match Results: Simona Waltert

    29.09.26
    WTA 125K Adana, Turkiye Women Singles
    Anastasia Tikhonova
    Anastasia Tikhonova
    Simona Waltert
    Simona Waltert
    1
    2
    6
    3
    64
    77
    3
    6
    W
    11.09.26
    WTA 125K Montreux, Switzerland Women Singles
    Simona Waltert
    Simona Waltert
    Dalma Galfi
    Dalma Galfi
    0
    2
    2
    6
    2
    6
    L
    10.09.26
    WTA 125K Montreux, Switzerland Women Singles
    Simona Waltert
    Simona Waltert
    Despina Papamichail
    Despina Papamichail
    2
    1
    2
    6
    6
    1
    6
    3
    W
    08.09.26
    WTA 125K Montreux, Switzerland Women Singles
    Simona Waltert
    Simona Waltert
    Rebeka Masarova
    Rebeka Masarova
    2
    1
    77
    64
    3
    6
    6
    2
    W
    31.08.26
    USO
    Nadia Podoroska
    Nadia Podoroska
    Simona Waltert
    Simona Waltert
    2
    1
    4
    6
    77
    65
    6
    3
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Paula Badosa Player Overview

    Paula Badosa has posted slightly stronger results over the stretch, claiming six wins in her last ten matches, including a three-match winning streak at this tournament. Notably, she boasts an impressive 69% hold rate on serve and leads her upcoming opponent in first-serve accuracy at 67%. On average, Paula edges ahead in overall performance, winning 21 games per match. However, her double fault count is above the WTA Tour average, which could prove costly if Simona manages to capitalize on her return opportunities.

    Match Results: Paula Badosa

    19.09.26
    WTA Sao Paulo
    Nadia Podoroska
    Nadia Podoroska
    Paula Badosa
    Paula Badosa
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    L
    18.09.26
    WTA Sao Paulo
    Mary Stoiana
    Mary Stoiana
    Paula Badosa
    Paula Badosa
    0
    2
    4
    6
    2
    6
    W
    17.09.26
    WTA Sao Paulo
    Jazmin Ortenzi
    Jazmin Ortenzi
    Paula Badosa
    Paula Badosa
    1
    2
    6
    4
    2
    6
    2
    6
    W
    16.09.26
    WTA Sao Paulo
    Justina Mikulskyte
    Justina Mikulskyte
    Paula Badosa
    Paula Badosa
    0
    2
    3
    6
    2
    6
    W
    03.09.26
    USO
    Paula Badosa
    Paula Badosa
    Cori Gauff
    Cori Gauff
    0
    2
    4
    6
    65
    77
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Key factors

    • Paula Badosa averages 21.1 games per match.
    • Simona Waltert have won 5 of their last 10 matches, while Paula Badosa have taken 6 out of 10.
    • Both players have a set win percentage above 50%.

    Expected scenario

    Given how closely matched the players are in terms of games and sets won, and with both in strong form, this final could feature long, hard-fought sets and may even go the distance to a deciding third set.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    The match features two players in comparable form, both boasting strong averages in games played. Given the stakes of the final and the similar level of both opponents, we could be in for long sets or even a deciding third set. Expect a tightly contested battle, especially when it comes to the scoreline. With these factors in mind, a well-founded prediction would be to back over 20.5 total games.

    Total Over (20,5)
    Odds-147
    Published: 10/07/2026, 14:32
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis expert
    374
    0
    267
    641 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Simona Waltert - Paula Badosa

    Simona Waltert has won the 1st set:
    waltert-simonain last 4 matches (WTA Bastad).
    1st Set Simona Waltert to Win
    Bovada
    +170
    Paula Badosa has won the 1st set:
    badosa-gibert-paulain last 5 matches.
    badosa-gibert-paulain last 4 matches (WTA Bastad).
    1st Set Paula Badosa to Win
    Bovada
    -227
    Paula Badosa has won the 2nd set:
    badosa-gibert-paulain last 4 matches (WTA Bastad).
    2nd Set Paula Badosa to Win
    -227
    Simona Waltert has won the 2nd set:
    waltert-simonain last 4 matches (WTA Bastad).
    2nd Set Simona Waltert to Win
    +178
    View more facts