Medvedev vs Michelsen Prediction 11 March 2026

    RUS
    Daniil Medvedev
    USA
    Alex Michelsen
    6
    6
    2
    2
    4
    0

    🔊 In the Round of 16 at the men's tennis tournament in Indian Wells, Daniil Medvedev will face off against Alex Michelsen. These competitors are ranked 11th and 44th in the ATP standings, respectively, making the Russian the bookmakers' favorite for this encounter. Can the American put up a fight against Daniil in front of his home crowd? Find our match prediction in our analytical piece.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Daniil Medvedev and Alex Michelsen have faced each other three times, with the Russian tennis player emerging victorious on each occasion. Moreover, Medvedev has not dropped a single set in any of their encounters. 

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    100%
    4 Wins
    0%
    0 Wins
    11.03.26
    USA Indian Wells
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Alex Michelsen
    Alex Michelsen
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    10.01.26
    BRI
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Alex Michelsen
    Alex Michelsen
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    20.06.25
    Germany Halle
    Alex Michelsen
    Alex Michelsen
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    09.03.25
    USA Indian Wells
    Alex Michelsen
    Alex Michelsen
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    0
    0
    0
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Daniil Medvedev Player Overview

    🎾 Medvedev recently claimed victory at the Dubai tournament and has now set his sights on conquering Indian Wells. Over the past three years, he's reached the finals here twice but has yet to secure the title, with Alcaraz twice proving to be his nemesis in those decisive matches. This season, Daniil has had an impressive start, playing 18 matches and winning 15 of them.

    🔔 The current tournament is unfolding smoothly for Medvedev so far, with the Russian spending just over an hour on court in each of his two matches. He dispatched Alejandro Tabilo (6-4, 6-2) and Sebastian Baez (6-4, 6-0) in succession. Frankly, these opponents were not particularly strong; they are more suited to clay courts and struggle against top-tier players on hard courts, which explains the results we witnessed.

    Match Results: Daniil Medvedev

    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Adam Walton
    Adam Walton
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    3
    2
    6
    2
    1
    6
    6
    1
    1
    6
    6
    4
    L
    15.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    1
    6
    2
    5
    7
    6
    4
    L
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Martin Landaluce
    Martin Landaluce
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    1
    2
    6
    1
    4
    6
    5
    7
    W
    12.05.26
    ROM
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    0
    2
    3
    6
    2
    6
    W
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    1
    2
    6
    3
    4
    6
    2
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Alex Michelsen Player Overview

    🎾 Mikkelsen has been making steady progress at the Indian Wells tournament over the past three years, each time improving his performance. His best achievement so far was reaching the third round last year. This season, the 21-year-old American has had a somewhat inconsistent record, with 9 wins and 5 losses.

    🔔 Mikkelsen started his Indian Wells campaign from the first round, where he confidently defeated Spain's Daniel Merida Aguilar (6-3, 6-4). He then faced a grueling three-set match against France's Ugo Humbert, which was decided in a final-set tiebreak. In the third round, Alex left no room for his compatriot Taylor Fritz, winning 6-4, 7-6. In this latest match, Mikkelsen's first serve accuracy was 71%, and he delivered 9 aces.

    Match Results: Alex Michelsen

    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Alex Michelsen
    Alex Michelsen
    Rafael Jodar
    Rafael Jodar
    2
    3
    6
    7
    7
    6
    6
    4
    3
    6
    3
    6
    L
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Nishesh Basavareddy
    Nishesh Basavareddy
    Alex Michelsen
    Alex Michelsen
    1
    3
    65
    77
    3
    6
    6
    3
    3
    6
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Alexander Shevchenko
    Alexander Shevchenko
    Alex Michelsen
    Alex Michelsen
    0
    3
    2
    6
    4
    6
    2
    6
    W
    21.05.26
    Switzerland Geneva
    Alex Michelsen
    Alex Michelsen
    Learner Tien
    Learner Tien
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    3
    1
    6
    L
    20.05.26
    Switzerland Geneva
    Stan Wawrinka
    Stan Wawrinka
    Alex Michelsen
    Alex Michelsen
    0
    2
    61
    77
    64
    77
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Editorial Prediction

    Medvedev is currently in excellent form, and the courts at Indian Wells perfectly suit his style of play. Let's not forget the head-to-head statistics, which clearly favor the Russian player. Mikkelsen has very little chance in this match, as he lacks any convincing arguments against Medvedev at the moment. Daniil is expected to wrap up this encounter swiftly in two sets without tiebreaks. Our bet is on Medvedev's individual total under 12.5.

    Our choice
    Daniil Medvedev Total Under (12.5) at odds of +107*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (11 March 2026, 00:39)

    Betting Tips: Daniil Medvedev - Alex Michelsen

    Daniil Medvedev has won the 1st set
    medvedev-daniilin 6 of last 7 matches.
    1st Set Daniil Medvedev Win
    Bovada
    -278
    Daniil Medvedev has won the 2nd set
    medvedev-daniilin 6 of last 7 matches.
    2nd Set Daniil Medvedev Win
    -256
    Daniil Medvedev has won
    medvedev-daniilin 6 of last 7 matches.
    Daniil Medvedev Win
    Bovada
    -400
    Over 18.5 games
    alex-michelsenin last 9 Alex Michelsen games.
    Total Over (18.5)
    -370
    View more facts