Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/8
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP
ATP - 1
2
:
0
Ended
Casper Ruud
NOR
ATP - 13

Alcaraz vs Ruud Prediction 11 March 2026

    ESP
    Carlos Alcaraz
    NOR
    Casper Ruud
    6
    77
    2
    1
    62
    0

    🔊 In the round of 16 of a major tennis tournament in Indian Wells, Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud are set to face off. Ranked 1st and 13th in the world respectively, bookmakers have little doubt about the Spaniard's victory. We've prepared a detailed analysis of this matchup with an exclusive expert prediction on its outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud have faced each other on the court eight times, with the Spanish player leading the head-to-head 5-3. Their most recent encounter took place in Tokyo last year, where Alcaraz needed three sets to secure the victory.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    75%
    6 Wins
    25%
    2 Wins
    11.03.26
    USA Indian Wells
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    2
    0
    6
    1
    7
    6
    29.09.25
    TOK
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    3
    6
    4
    11.11.24
    Turin, Italy
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    0
    2
    1
    6
    5
    7
    02.10.23
    China, Beijing
    Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
    Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    18.12.22
    WOR
    Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
    Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    0
    2
    1
    6
    4
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Carlos Alcaraz Player Overview

    🎾 Alcaraz is making waves at the Indian Wells tournament, having clinched the title twice (2023 and 2024), each time overcoming Daniil Medvedev in the final. Last year, the Spaniard exited in the semifinals, falling to Britain's Jack Draper. This season, Carlos boasts an impressive record: 15 wins without a single loss.

    🔔 Alcaraz's journey at Indian Wells hasn't been entirely smooth. In his third-round match, Carlos had to battle through three sets against Arthur Rinderknech, winning 2-1 (6-7, 6-3, 6-2). It later emerged that the Spaniard wasn't feeling well on court and even considered withdrawing from the tournament, but he persevered to secure the victory.

    Match Results: Carlos Alcaraz

    17.04.26
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Tomas Machac
    Tomas Machac
    -
    -
    0
    0
    L
    14.04.26
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Otto Virtanen
    Otto Virtanen
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    12.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    0
    2
    65
    77
    3
    6
    L
    11.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Valentin Vacherot
    Valentin Vacherot
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    10.04.26
    MON
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Casper Ruud Player Overview

    🎾 Ruud hasn't had the greatest success at the Indian Wells tournament in the past, with his best showing being a quarterfinal appearance in 2024. Last year, he exited in the second round. Overall this season, the Norwegian's record isn't particularly impressive: seven wins and five losses.

    🔔 Like his opponent, Ruud started his journey at this tournament from the second round, where he confidently defeated Alexander Shevchenko (6-1, 7-6). In the round of 32, he faced a resilient Valentin Vacherot, which required him to battle through three sets. In that match, Casper had a 74% first-serve accuracy but managed only 5 aces.

    Match Results: Casper Ruud

    31.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    Joao Fonseca
    Joao Fonseca
    1
    3
    5
    7
    6
    7
    7
    5
    2
    6
    L
    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    3
    2
    4
    6
    64
    77
    6
    4
    77
    64
    7
    5
    W
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    Hamad Medjedovic
    Hamad Medjedovic
    3
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    3
    2
    6
    2
    77
    65
    5
    7
    0
    6
    6
    2
    W
    22.05.26
    Switzerland Geneva
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    Mariano Navone
    Mariano Navone
    0
    2
    5
    7
    2
    6
    L
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    Editorial Prediction

    Matches between these opponents are always fiercely contested, as both tennis players have a great feel for the court and excel on fast hard surfaces. It's unclear if Alcaraz is currently at peak physical condition, with his last match revealing some health concerns. Taking this into account, we suggest betting on Ruud with a +6 handicap.

    Our choice
    Casper Ruud Handicap (+6) at odds of -200*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (11 March 2026, 03:13)

    Betting Tips: Carlos Alcaraz - Casper Ruud

    Carlos Alcaraz has won
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 8 matches.
    Carlos Alcaraz Win
    Everygame
    -1429
    Carlos Alcaraz has won the 2nd set
    carlos-alcaraz-garfiain last 7 matches.
    2nd Set Carlos Alcaraz Win
    -667
    Over 19.5 games
    ruud-casperin last 7 Casper Ruud games.
    Total Over (19.5)
    Bovada
    -115
    Casper Ruud has won over 8.5 games
    ruud-casperin last 5 matches.
    Casper Ruud Total Over (8.5)
    MyBookie
    +130
    View more facts