Surface:
Hard
Round:
Final
Daniil Medvedev
RUS
ATP - 13
2
:
0
Ended
Brandon Nakashima
USA
ATP - 33

Medvedev vs Nakashima Prediction 11 January 2026

    RUS
    Daniil Medvedev
    USA
    Brandon Nakashima
    6
    7
    2
    2
    6
    0

    🔊 In the final of the Brisbane tennis tournament, Daniil Medvedev and Brandon Nakashima will face off. These players currently hold the 13th and 33rd spots in the world rankings, respectively, which is why bookmakers have labeled the Russian player as the favorite in this matchup. Can Medvedev prove his superiority on the court? We'll find out soon, but in the meantime, check out our prediction for this match.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Daniil Medvedev and Brandon Nakashima have faced each other only once, which was on the clay courts of Madrid last April. In that match, the Russian tennis player emerged victorious in three sets, coming from behind during the encounter.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    100%
    2 Wins
    0%
    0 Wins
    11.01.26
    BRI
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    2
    0
    6
    2
    7
    6
    29.04.25
    Spain, Madrid
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    1
    6
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Daniil Medvedev Player Overview

    🎾 Medvedev had a challenging first half of last season, but he picked up momentum towards the end. His drive and determination have carried over into 2026. This season, Daniil has played four matches and won them all. Winning the tournament now is crucial for him to reignite his self-belief and prove he can triumph in major competitions.

    🔔 In Brisbane, Medvedev dropped just one set, which happened during the quarterfinal against Poland's Kamil Majchrzak. In that match, his first serve wasn't always on point (only 66%), but by the end, he found his rhythm and fired 16 aces, securing the victory. In the semifinals, Daniil comfortably defeated Alex Michelsen (6-4, 6-2).

    Match Results: Daniil Medvedev

    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Adam Walton
    Adam Walton
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    3
    2
    6
    2
    1
    6
    6
    1
    1
    6
    6
    4
    L
    15.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    1
    6
    2
    5
    7
    6
    4
    L
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Martin Landaluce
    Martin Landaluce
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    1
    2
    6
    1
    4
    6
    5
    7
    W
    12.05.26
    ROM
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    0
    2
    3
    6
    2
    6
    W
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    1
    2
    6
    3
    4
    6
    2
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Brandon Nakashima Player Overview

    🎾 Nakashima finds himself in the final, not without a stroke of luck, and he doesn't shy away from admitting it. Last season, Brandon had an inconsistent run on hard courts, with 19 wins against 14 losses. Now, in 2026, his record stands at 4-0, and if he adds another win, it will mark a significant milestone in the American's career.

    🔔 Nakashima's performance in Brisbane has been exceptional, as he hasn't dropped a single set to his opponents. In the quarterfinals, Brandon dismantled Raphael Collignon (6-3, 6-3), and in the semifinals, he battled past a resilient Aleksandar Kovacevic (7-6, 6-4). In his latest match, Nakashima won 78% of points on his first serve, with a first serve accuracy of 64%.

    Match Results: Brandon Nakashima

    30.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Felix Auger Aliassime
    Felix Auger Aliassime
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    3
    1
    5
    7
    6
    1
    77
    64
    77
    61
    L
    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Luca Van Assche
    Luca Van Assche
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    2
    3
    77
    65
    4
    6
    7
    5
    1
    6
    3
    6
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Roberto Bautista-Agut
    Roberto Bautista-Agut
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    0
    3
    2
    6
    5
    7
    2
    6
    W
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Nikoloz Basilashvili
    0
    2
    65
    77
    4
    6
    L
    09.05.26
    ROM
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    Roberto Bautista-Agut
    Roberto Bautista-Agut
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editor's Prediction

    It's clear that the favorite for this match is Daniil Medvedev. Yes, the Russian tennis player faced challenging times a year ago, but he's gradually emerged from that crisis and is gaining momentum. Even in his current form (which isn't yet perfect), he should comfortably defeat an opponent ranked in the fourth tier of the ATP rankings. Medvedev's game is on the rise, and we believe that in the upcoming match, it's wise to back Medvedev with a -3 handicap.

    Our choice
    Daniil Medvedev Handicap (-3) at odds of -145*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (10 January 2026, 14:08)

    Betting Tips: Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima

    Brandon Nakashima has won the 1st set
    nakashima-brandonin last 4 matches (ATP Brisbane).
    1st Set Brandon Nakashima Win
    Bovada
    +200
    Brandon Nakashima has won the 2nd set
    nakashima-brandonin last 4 matches (ATP Brisbane).
    2nd Set Brandon Nakashima Win
    +180
    Daniil Medvedev has won the 2nd set
    medvedev-daniilin last 4 matches (ATP Brisbane).
    2nd Set Daniil Medvedev Win
    -263
    Under 2.5 sets
    medvedev-daniilin 6 of last 7 Daniil Medvedev games.
    nakashima-brandonin last 13 Brandon Nakashima games.
    Sets Total Under (2.5)
    MyBookie
    -400
    View more facts