Surface:
Hard
Round:
Final
Daniil Medvedev
RUS
ATP - 13
2
:
0
Ended
Brandon Nakashima
USA
ATP - 33

Medvedev vs Nakashima Prediction 11 January 2026

    RUS
    Daniil Medvedev
    USA
    Brandon Nakashima
    6
    7
    2
    2
    6
    0

    🔊 In the final of the Brisbane tennis tournament, Daniil Medvedev and Brandon Nakashima will face off. These players currently hold the 13th and 33rd spots in the world rankings, respectively, which is why bookmakers have labeled the Russian player as the favorite in this matchup. Can Medvedev prove his superiority on the court? We'll find out soon, but in the meantime, check out our prediction for this match.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Daniil Medvedev and Brandon Nakashima have faced each other only once, which was on the clay courts of Madrid last April. In that match, the Russian tennis player emerged victorious in three sets, coming from behind during the encounter.

    Head-to-head statistics Medvedev - Nakashima

    67%
    2 Wins
    33%
    1 Win
    18.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    1
    63
    77
    77
    64
    6
    1
    11.01.26
    BRI
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    2
    0
    6
    2
    7
    6
    29.04.25
    Spain, Madrid
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    1
    6
    4
    Empty
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    Daniil Medvedev Player Overview

    🎾 Medvedev had a challenging first half of last season, but he picked up momentum towards the end. His drive and determination have carried over into 2026. This season, Daniil has played four matches and won them all. Winning the tournament now is crucial for him to reignite his self-belief and prove he can triumph in major competitions.

    🔔 In Brisbane, Medvedev dropped just one set, which happened during the quarterfinal against Poland's Kamil Majchrzak. In that match, his first serve wasn't always on point (only 66%), but by the end, he found his rhythm and fired 16 aces, securing the victory. In the semifinals, Daniil comfortably defeated Alex Michelsen (6-4, 6-2).

    Match Results: Daniil Medvedev

    27.09.26
    ATP Hangzhou Singles
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Chak Lam Coleman Wong
    Chak Lam Coleman Wong
    2
    1
    6
    3
    62
    77
    6
    3
    W
    26.09.26
    ATP Hangzhou Singles
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Valentin Royer
    Valentin Royer
    2
    0
    78
    66
    6
    3
    W
    06.09.26
    USO
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    0
    3
    61
    77
    4
    6
    66
    78
    L
    04.09.26
    USO
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Arthur Rinderknech
    Arthur Rinderknech
    3
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    02.09.26
    USO
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Sebastian Gorzny
    Sebastian Gorzny
    3
    0
    6
    1
    6
    3
    7
    5
    W
    Empty
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    Brandon Nakashima Player Overview

    🎾 Nakashima finds himself in the final, not without a stroke of luck, and he doesn't shy away from admitting it. Last season, Brandon had an inconsistent run on hard courts, with 19 wins against 14 losses. Now, in 2026, his record stands at 4-0, and if he adds another win, it will mark a significant milestone in the American's career.

    🔔 Nakashima's performance in Brisbane has been exceptional, as he hasn't dropped a single set to his opponents. In the quarterfinals, Brandon dismantled Raphael Collignon (6-3, 6-3), and in the semifinals, he battled past a resilient Aleksandar Kovacevic (7-6, 6-4). In his latest match, Nakashima won 78% of points on his first serve, with a first serve accuracy of 64%.

    Match Results: Brandon Nakashima

    25.09.26
    Laver Cup Exhibition
    Jakub Mensik
    Jakub Mensik
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    1
    2
    1
    6
    6
    3
    7
    10
    W
    02.09.26
    USO
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    Alex Michelsen
    Alex Michelsen
    0
    3
    3
    6
    4
    6
    4
    6
    L
    31.08.26
    USO
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    3
    0
    6
    2
    6
    1
    6
    0
    W
    22.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    0
    2
    5
    7
    3
    6
    L
    21.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    1
    2
    69
    711
    6
    4
    3
    6
    W
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    Editor's Prediction

    It's clear that the favorite for this match is Daniil Medvedev. Yes, the Russian tennis player faced challenging times a year ago, but he's gradually emerged from that crisis and is gaining momentum. Even in his current form (which isn't yet perfect), he should comfortably defeat an opponent ranked in the fourth tier of the ATP rankings. Medvedev's game is on the rise, and we believe that in the upcoming match, it's wise to back Medvedev with a -3 handicap.

    Daniil Medvedev Handicap (-3)
    Odds-145
    Published: 10/01/2026, 14:08

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    Betting Tips: Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima

    Brandon Nakashima has won the 1st set:
    nakashima-brandonin last 4 matches (ATP Brisbane).
    1st Set Brandon Nakashima to Win
    Bovada
    +200
    Brandon Nakashima has won the 2nd set:
    nakashima-brandonin last 4 matches (ATP Brisbane).
    2nd Set Brandon Nakashima to Win
    +180
    Daniil Medvedev has won the 2nd set:
    medvedev-daniilin last 4 matches (ATP Brisbane).
    2nd Set Daniil Medvedev to Win
    -263
    Under 2.5 sets:
    medvedev-daniilin 6 of last 7 Daniil Medvedev games.
    nakashima-brandonin last 13 Brandon Nakashima games.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    MyBookie
    -400
    View more facts