Surface:
Hard
Round:
Quarterfinal
Daniil Medvedev
RUS
ATP - 18
2
:
0
Ended
Alex De Minaur
AUS
ATP - 7

Medvedev vs De Minaur Prediction 10 October 2025

    RUS
    Daniil Medvedev
    AUS
    Alex De Minaur
    6
    6
    2
    4
    4
    0

    🔊 In the Shanghai tournament quarterfinals, Daniil Medvedev will face off against Alex de Minaur. This is a crucial match for both players, as a victory here could significantly impact their world rankings and bring them closer to the final of a major tournament. For Medvedev, it's an opportunity to avenge his loss to de Minaur in April this year, where he was defeated in straight sets. The court surface is outdoor hard, which traditionally suits both players, but each will aim to leverage their unique skills to secure the win.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur have faced each other on the court 11 times, with the Russian tennis player leading the head-to-head 7-4.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    67%
    8 Wins
    33%
    4 Wins
    10.10.25
    SHA
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    10.04.25
    MON
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    2
    2
    6
    2
    6
    12.11.24
    Turin, Italy
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    03.06.24
    Roland-Garros
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    3
    1
    4
    6
    6
    2
    6
    1
    6
    3
    30.09.23
    China, Beijing
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    0
    2
    6
    7
    3
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Daniil Medvedev Player Overview

    🎾 Daniil Medvedev is showcasing impressive form with three consecutive wins following a single loss. He has triumphed in his last three matches against Learner Tien, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, and Dalibor Svrcina, displaying a high level of play on hard courts. The stats back up his confidence: a first-serve accuracy of 64% and a game-winning percentage of 69%. His strengths lie in his consistent serve and high efficiency in the second set. However, a potential weakness is his high number of double faults (7% of all serves), which could be exploited by de Minaur's aggressive return game.

    Match Results: Daniil Medvedev

    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Adam Walton
    Adam Walton
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    3
    2
    6
    2
    1
    6
    6
    1
    1
    6
    6
    4
    L
    15.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    1
    6
    2
    5
    7
    6
    4
    L
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Martin Landaluce
    Martin Landaluce
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    1
    2
    6
    1
    4
    6
    5
    7
    W
    12.05.26
    ROM
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    0
    2
    3
    6
    2
    6
    W
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    1
    2
    6
    3
    4
    6
    2
    6
    W
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    Alex De Minaur Player Overview

    🎾 Alex de Minaur is in excellent form, boasting recent straight-set victories over Nuno Borges, Kamil Majchrzak, and Camilo Ugo Carabelli. His strengths lie in his exceptional return game, with a 36% success rate on break points, and a minimal double fault rate of just 1% of all serves. He often takes control from the first set, showcasing high concentration and a powerful start-winning the opening set in nine of his last ten matches. The key question is whether he can maintain this pace against more seasoned opponents. His game is marked by solid defense in extended rallies, thanks to his quick reactions.

    Match Results: Alex De Minaur

    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Jakub Mensik
    Jakub Mensik
    1
    3
    6
    0
    2
    6
    2
    6
    3
    6
    L
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Alexander Blockx
    Alexander Blockx
    -
    -
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Toby Samuel
    Toby Samuel
    3
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    22.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    1
    2
    6
    2
    3
    6
    3
    6
    L
    21.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    W
    Empty
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    An intense clash is anticipated between two top-tier tennis players with similar hard court stats. Both competitors are in excellent form, each boasting three consecutive victories leading into this match, which adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming encounter. While the Russian's offensive game has its strengths, Alex de Minaur is likely to start strong in the first set due to his ability to quickly adapt to his opponent's style. Based on recent trends and the current form of the players, we predict under 2.5 sets-a scenario that has occurred in six of Medvedev's last seven matches.

    Our choice
    Sets Total Under (2.5) at odds of -185*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (9 October 2025, 19:51)

    Betting Tips: Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur

    Alex De Minaur has won the 2nd set
    de-minaur-alexin last 4 matches.
    2nd Set Alex De Minaur Win
    -169
    Alex De Minaur has won
    de-minaur-alexin 9 of last 10 matches.
    Alex De Minaur Win
    MyBookie
    -167
    Daniil Medvedev has won
    medvedev-daniilin 6 of last 7 matches.
    Daniil Medvedev Win
    Bovada
    +160
    Alex De Minaur has won the 1st set
    de-minaur-alexin 9 of last 10 matches.
    1st Set Alex De Minaur Win
    Bovada
    -169
    View more facts