Maestrelli vs Kasnikowski Prediction 11 September 2026

    ITA
    Francesco Maestrelli
    POL
    Maks Kasnikowski
    0
    6
    1
    1
    6
    2
    6
    2

    🔊 In the quarter-final of the Istanbul 3 Challenger on hard court, Francesco Maestrelli takes on Max Kaśnikowski. Both players have shown similar levels of productivity, which could make for a lengthy match. The consistent form both have shown on this surface sets up an interesting scenario to analyse.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Max Kaśnikowski won the only previous meeting between the two.

    Head-to-head statistics Maestrelli - Kasnikowski

    0%
    0 Wins
    100%
    2 Wins
    11.09.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul 3
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Maks Kasnikowski
    Maks Kasnikowski
    1
    2
    0
    6
    6
    2
    1
    6
    10.06.24
    Italy Perugia, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Maks Kasnikowski
    Maks Kasnikowski
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Francesco Maestrelli
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Francesco Maestrelli Player Overview

    Francesco Maestrelli arrives at this match with three wins from his last ten, though two of those have come at the current tournament, where he has already progressed through two rounds. His recent results have steadied - he has beaten Juan Pablo Ficovich and Olukayode Ayeni in consecutive matches. Maestrelli holds serve in 80% of his service games, with a first-serve percentage of 63%. He leads his opponent comfortably in aces, averaging 7.9 per match. His overall games-won and sets-won rates sit at around 50% and 40% respectively, reflecting close contests in almost every match.

    Match Results: Francesco Maestrelli

    21.09.26
    ATP Challenger Saint Tropez, France Men Singles
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Francesco Maestrelli
    2
    1
    6
    3
    64
    77
    6
    3
    L
    18.09.26
    France Rennes, ATP
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Sascha Wayenburg
    Sascha Wayenburg
    0
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    L
    17.09.26
    France Rennes, ATP
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Yanis Ghazouani Durand
    Yanis Ghazouani Durand
    2
    1
    4
    6
    77
    63
    6
    3
    W
    16.09.26
    France Rennes, ATP
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Arthur Nagel
    Arthur Nagel
    2
    0
    6
    4
    77
    63
    W
    11.09.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul 3
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Maks Kasnikowski
    Maks Kasnikowski
    1
    2
    0
    6
    6
    2
    1
    6
    L
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    Maks Kasnikowski Player Overview

    Max Kasnikowski has won five of his last ten matches, with his current run including three consecutive wins across two tournaments. In Istanbul he came through against Ivan Marrero Curbelo and Christian Langmo without difficulty. On serve, the Pole wins 75% of service games with a first-serve percentage of 58%, which is lower than Maestrelli's figure, though he offsets this with a solid points-won balance of 51%. His average games per match is identical to his opponent's - 25.8 - while his sets won is slightly higher, at around half of all sets played.

    Match Results: Maks Kasnikowski

    19.09.26
    Davis Cup
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    Maks Kasnikowski
    Maks Kasnikowski
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    0
    L
    12.09.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul 3
    Maks Kasnikowski
    Maks Kasnikowski
    Jay Dylan Hara Friend
    Jay Dylan Hara Friend
    0
    2
    64
    77
    4
    6
    L
    11.09.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul 3
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Maks Kasnikowski
    Maks Kasnikowski
    1
    2
    0
    6
    6
    2
    1
    6
    W
    09.09.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul 3
    Christian Langmo
    Christian Langmo
    Maks Kasnikowski
    Maks Kasnikowski
    0
    2
    3
    6
    61
    77
    W
    07.09.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul 3
    Ivan Marrero Curbelo
    Ivan Marrero Curbelo
    Maks Kasnikowski
    Maks Kasnikowski
    1
    2
    6
    4
    5
    7
    0
    6
    W
    Empty
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    Key factors

    • In Max Kaśnikowski's last five matches, Total Games - Over 21.5 has come in consistently.
    • The average number of games per match across both players is 25.8.
    • Both players win roughly half their games and sets, pointing to evenly contested matches.
    • Both players' recent matches have frequently been closely fought.

    Expected scenario

    Based on the statistics from their recent matches and the average number of games for both players, an even contest is expected, with a good chance of long sets and a possible third set. This scenario favours the Total Games - Over bet coming in.

    Total Games Prediction

    Kaśnikowski's consistent tendency towards high totals suggests his matches rarely end quickly - both players are capable of holding serve and pushing sets to a high game count.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    The current form of both players points to a competitive match: the average number of games per match is similarly high for each, and both win roughly half their sets. Their previous head-to-head meeting did not end in a quick victory for either side, and recent totals trends support the possibility of an extended quarter-final. The pick is Total Games - Over 22.5.
    Total Over (22,5)
    Odds-115
    Published: 10/09/2026, 07:56
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
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    457 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Francesco Maestrelli - Maks Kasnikowski

    Over 21.5 games:
    kasnikowski-maks-1in last 5 Maks Kasnikowski games.
    Total Over (21,5)
    -167
    Maks Kasnikowski won with a +1.5 sets handicap:
    kasnikowski-maks-1in 6 of last 7 matches.
    Maks Kasnikowski Sets Handicap (+1,5)
    -357
    Francesco Maestrelli won with a +3.5 games handicap:
    maestrelli-francescoin last 6 matches.
    Francesco Maestrelli Handicap (+3,5)
    -208